R help - Dec 2009 - very beginner's question

Begging the list's indulgence, an extremely dumb beginner's question. 
I've got 24 months' worth of numbers - ranging from 2 events per month,
to 66 events per month.  I want to take a stab at making a reasonable guess as
to what the next year's data would be, approximately, i.e., based on the 24
months I've got, I want to be able to tell someone: "the 12 months
after this will probably average about $number of events per month." 
Assuming I'm able to navigate R with a minimum degree of proficiency, where
would I start with this?  As you can doubtless tell, I'm not looking for
anything sophisticated - just a reasonable estimate.  Am I going to be able to
do better than a projected per-month guess based on $total/$number_of_months?

Thanks very much -
 		 	   		  
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See ?ets in the forecast package.


On Sun, Dec 27, 2009 at 2:51 PM, Facetious Nickname
<facetious_nickname at hotmail.com> wrote:
>
> Begging the list's indulgence, an extremely dumb beginner's
question. ?I've got 24 months' worth of numbers - ranging from 2 events
per month, to 66 events per month. ?I want to take a stab at making a reasonable
guess as to what the next year's data would be, approximately, i.e., based
on the 24 months I've got, I want to be able to tell someone: "the 12
months after this will probably average about $number of events per month."
?Assuming I'm able to navigate R with a minimum degree of proficiency, where
would I start with this? ?As you can doubtless tell, I'm not looking for
anything sophisticated - just a reasonable estimate. ?Am I going to be able to
do better than a projected per-month guess based on $total/$number_of_months?
>
> Thanks very much -
>
> _________________________________________________________________
> Hotmail: Trusted email with powerful SPAM protection.
>
> ? ? ? ?[[alternative HTML version deleted]]
>
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