Hi I have fitted an arima model to a monthly series of length 113. I have use fit <- arima(x.ts, order = c(1,0,0),seas = list(order = c(1,2,1),12, method = "CSS") I'm a little confused because the series of residual has the first 46 values equal to 0. From there the residuals are approximately while noise, numbers have a mean close to 0 and a variance value. What could be causing these results? -- Luis [[alternative HTML version deleted]]