Dear R-users, I'm using lmer to fit two-level logistic models and I'm interested in predicted probabilities that I get in this way (using "fitted"): glm1 = lmer(XY$T1~X1 + X2 + X3 + (1|Cind), family=binomial) #estimation of a two-level logit model fit1=fitted(glm1) # I get the fitted linear predictor ilog = function(x) { 1/(1 + exp(-x)) } ps1=ilog(fit1) # In order to get the estimated probabilities Is this procedure correct? In this way I'm getting the "conditional probabilities", right? Is there any function I can use in order to get the "empirical bayes (EB) probabilities"? Any suggestion? And more generally, can you suggest me any paper/textbook/notes clarifying when it's more suitable to use one kind of probability than the other? Here are the formulas for what I labelled as conditional and EB probability: The model is: logit(P(Y=1)) = a + bX + u conditional: P(Y=1/u=u^) = 1/(1 + exp(-(a^ + b^X + u^))) EB: ?[1/(1 + exp(-(a^ + b^X + u)))] x Posterior (u/Y, X) du (u is the random effect; ^ indicates estimated) Many thanks -- View this message in context: http://www.nabble.com/How-to-predict-probabilities-after-using-lmer-tp20678825p20678825.html Sent from the R help mailing list archive at Nabble.com.