I have made a logistic model for the probability a child will be immunized. Here is the model: M3 <- lmer(immun ~ kid2p + order23 + order46 + order7p + indNoSpa + indSpa + momWork + rural + pcInd81 + (1|mom), family=binomial(link="logit")) 'mom' designates a child's family, where all the families have been indexed I'm trying to predict the probability a new born child to a family will be immunized. Here's what I have: new.info<- data.frame(kid2p=0, order23=0, order46=1, order7p=0, indNospa=0, indSpa=0, momWork=1, rural=0, pcInd81=.0086511, mom=245) pred.interval<-predict(M3, new.info, level=.95) This function supposedly gives me the 95% confidence interval and probability estimate. I could just take the regression coefficients and compute the probability manually, but I'm not sure how to deal with the 'mom' input varying by intercept. Can I pull out the intercept value for mom=245? If so, I could just compute it all based on the regression summary and a simulation. -chris [[alternative HTML version deleted]]