Eridk Poliruyt
2017-Jul-18 22:36 UTC
[R] STL - time series seasonal decomposition sensitive to data points?
Hi all, I am trying to analyse a time series data and want to make trend-season decomposition using STL approach in R. However I found the decomposition result seems to be sensitive to data points even with the robust option. More specifically, suppose I have a few years of monthly data. Using stl, I got a decomposition T1 + S1 + R1. Then I deleted the most recent two or three data points, the resulted decomposition T2 + S2 + R2 are totally different from the one with full data, especially for the beginning of time series which is weird. I would have expected that wouldn't be changed much due to the local nature of STL. May I ask for any thoughts and help on this issue? Many thanks! Best regards, Eric [[alternative HTML version deleted]]