wine users - Oct 2012 - Problem installing Dragon NaturallySpeaking 12.0 -- possible regression?

I am suddenly having a problem installing Dragon NaturallySpeaking 12.0. 
I have the following wine. 
wine-1.5.16
I tried twice, following my own directions. 

$ env WINEARCH=win32 WINEPREFIX=~/.wine winecfg
$ winetricks dotnet40
$ wine Dragon12Home_E.exe

The first time I didn't uninstall mono first, and the second time I did. 
Both times crashed. 

I have a log. Anyone want to take a look?

I think the relevant error message is as follows, but what do I know?

Unhandled exception: page fault on read access to 0x0021a880 in 32-bit code
(0x7bc453ab).