similar to: Applying forecast functions to columns in a data frame

Hey, I am using the ets() function in the forecast package to find out the best fit parameters for my time-series. I have about 50 sets of time series data. I'm currently using the function as follows: ets(x,model="AZZ",opt.crit="mse") As to my observation about 5-10 of them have been identified by ets to have a trend and an alpha, beta values have been thrown up -

Hey, I have a data frame x which consists of say 10 vectors. I essentially want to find out the best fit exponential smoothing for each of the vectors. The problem while I'm getting results when i say > lapply(x,ets) I am getting an error when I say >> myprint function(x) { for(i in 1:length(x)) { ets(x[i],model="AZZ",opt.crit=c("amse")) } } The error message is

Hey, I have a few doubts with regard to the usage of the auto.arima function from the forecast package in R. *Background:* I have a set of about 50 time-series for which I would like to estimate the best autroregressive model. (I want to estimate the coefficients and order of p). Each of the series is non-stationary and are also have a non-normal distribution. The data is non-seasonal. My

Hello, In order to do a future forecast based on my past Time Series data sets (salespricesproduct1, salespricesproduct2, etc..), I used arima() functions with different parameter combinations which give the smallest AIC. I also used auto.arima() which finds the parameters with the smallest AICs. But unfortuanetly I could not get satisfactory forecast() results, even sometimes catastrophic

Dear R-helpers, I would appreicate if someone can help me on the transfer parameter in ARIMAX and also see what I am doing is correct. I am using ARIMAX with 2 Exogeneous Variables and 10 years data are as follows: DepVar Period, depVar, IndepVar1 Period, indepVar1, IndepVar2 Period, indepVar2 Jan 1998,708,Jan 1998,495,Jan 1998,245.490 Feb 1998,670,Feb 1998,421.25,Feb 1998,288.170 Mar

Dear all: I'm a newbie and an amateur seeking help with forecasting the next in a non-stationary time series, with constraints of 1 (low) and 27 (high) applicable to all. What I need help with is the solution concept. The series has 439 observations as of last week. I'd like to analyze obs 1 - 30 (which are historical and therefore invariate), to solve for 31. The history: Obs 1

Couldn't find this in the archives. I'm fitting a series of historical weather-related data, but would like to use the latest values to forecast. So let's say that I'm using 1970-2000 to fit a model (using fourier terms and arima/auto.arima), but now would like to use the last X values to predict tomorrow's weather. I'm at a loss. All the functions I've come across

I'm currently working with some time series data with the xts package, and would like to generate a forecast 12 periods into the future. There are limited observations, so I am unable to use an ARIMA model for the forecast. Here's the regression setup, after converting everything from zoo objects to vectors. hire.total.lag1 <- lag(hire.total, lag=-1, na.pad=TRUE) lm.model <-

Hello everybody! I have a problem when I try to perform a forecast of an ARIMA model produced by an auto.arima function. Here is what I'm doing: c<-auto.arima(fil[[1]],start.p=0,start.q=0,start.P=0,start.Q=0,stepwise=TRUE,stationary=FALSE,trace=TRUE) # fil[[1]] is time series of monthly data ARIMA(0,0,0)(0,1,0)[12] with drift : 1725.272 ARIMA(0,0,0)(0,1,0)[12] with drift

hi: I am trying to fit prediction intervals for an arima object. My search led me to the link: http://finzi.psych.upenn.edu/R/library/forecast/html/forecast.Arima.html which has the function "forecast", as I wanted. However, when I try to run it in R, I get the message: Error in plot(forecast(fit)) : could not find function "forecast" Even the example provided on the page

Hi R-list, I'll apologize in advance for (1) the wordiness of my note (not sure how to avoid it) and (2) any deficiencies on my part that lead to my difficulties. I have an application with several stages that is meant to simulate and explore different scenarios with respect to product sales (in units sold per month). My session info is at the bottom of this note. The steps include (1) an

Hello everybody! I have an ARIMA model for a time series. This model was obtained through an auto.arima function. The resulting model is a ARIMA(2,1,4)(2,0,1)[12] with drift (my time series has monthly data). Then I perform a 12-step ahead forecast to the cited model... so far so good... but when I look the plot of my forecast I see that the result is really far from the behavior of my time

Hello, I am very new to R and Time Series. I need some help including R codes about the following issues. I' ll really appreciate any number of answers... # I have a time series data composed of 24 values: myinput = c(n1,n2...,n24); # In order to make a forecasting a, I use the following codes result1 = arima(ts(myinput),order = c(p,d,q),seasonal = list(order=c(P,D,Q))) result2 =

Hi, I am trying to forecast a model using predict.Arima I found arima model for a data set: x={x1,x2,x3,...,x(t)} arima_model = arima(x,order=c(1,0,1)) I am forecasting the next N lags using predict: arima_pred = predict(arima_model,n.ahead = N, se.fit=T) If I have one more point in my series, let's say x(t+1). I do not want to recalibrate themodel, I just want to forecast the next N-1

Hello, I am using forecast() in the forecast package to predict future values of an ARIMA model fit to a time series. I have read most of the documentation for the forecast package, but I can't figure out how to obtain the forecast variance for the predicted values. I tried using the argument "se.fit=TRUE," hoping this would work since forecast() calls predict(). Is there an easy

Hello everyone, I'm doing some benchmark comparing Arima [1] and SVR on time series data. I'm using an out-of-sample one-step-ahead prediction from Arima using the "fitted" method [2]. Do someone know how to have a two-steps-ahead forecast timeseries from Arima? Thanks, Matteo Bertini [1] http://robjhyndman.com/software/forecast [2] AirPassengers example on page 5

Dear All, Trying to port an application to linux using wine. The program seems to have got struck with some kind of socket issues. Here is the last few lines of the log generated . Anything thats going wrong . ClientPlugHandler.dll, ClientPlug.dll and Dispatcher.dll are dlls within the application folder .I registered these dlls. Any help would be appreciated.

Hello, does anyone know of any R routines capable of whats called Hierarchical Forecasting, reconciling the different hierarchies. Example: A top down forecast where the corporate forecast is created and then all the regions within the corporate entity are also forecasted, with the constraint they sum to the corporate forecast.

Hi, Although my doubt is pretty,as i m not from stats background i am not sure how to proceed on this. Currently i am doing a forecasting.I used ARIMA to forecast and time series was volatile i used garchFit for residuals. How to use the output of Garch to correct the forecasted values from ARIMA. Here is my code: ###delta is the data fit<-arima(delta,order=c(2,,0,1)) fit.res <-

I suggest, you read: Forecasting: principles and practice from Hyndman-Athana?sopou?los https://www.otexts.org/fpp