similar to: How to identify structural breaks in GARCH?

Dear All, I have loaded package(tseries), but when I run predict.garch(...) R tells me could not find function "predict.garch", however ?predict.garch shows me something. I am confused about this. How can I forecast garch volatility? I have tried: predict(...,n.ahead=...),give me fitted value predict(...,n),give me NA,NA

Dear all, Does anyone know where there is R or S code for the CUSUM SQUARED structural breaks approach? (Brown, Durban and Evans, 1975 - used in Pesaran and Timmerman, 2002) The problem is that the breaks package only appears to offer the standard 'unsquared' CUSUM, even though it appears most think it is inferior to the squared version. It might appear to be a relatively simple

Hello, I have a rather complex problem... I will have to explain everything in detail because I cannot solve it by myself...i just ran out of ideas. So here is what I want to do: I take quotes of two indices - S&P500 and DJ. And my first aim is to estimate coefficients of the DCC-GARCH model for them. This is how I do it: library(tseries) p1 = get.hist.quote(instrument =

Dear list members, I'm trying to use DCC-GARCH model to estimate the correlation. I have downloeaded ccgarch packeage but can't understand some argument in the formula. dcc.estimation(inia, iniA, iniB, ini.dcc, dvar, model, method="BFGS", gradient=1, message=1) which is on R.Help I understand others except "ini.dcc" which is described as "a vector of initial

Hello, I have a rather complex problem... I will have to explain everything in detail because I cannot solve it by myself...i just ran out of ideas. So here is what I want to do: I take quotes of two indices - S&P500 and DJ. And my first aim is to estimate coefficients of the DCC-GARCH model for them. This is how I do it: library(tseries) p1 = get.hist.quote(instrument =

Dear R users, I am trying to use tseries' garch function in order to determine the volatility of a return series generated by quantmod. Here is the code that I am using: > library(quantmod) > getSymbols("AAPL") convert daily closing prices into continuous log returns > dret<-dailyReturn(AAPL,type='log') check to see that the autocorrelations decay >

hello, I have been looking at multiple websites on GARCH and have looked at some books and I am getting contradictory models given for GARCH. If I use the GARCH function to fit my model, I am confused as to what the coefficents given refer to. For example if I fit a GARCH(1,1) model, GARCH will give me three coefficients Ao, Ai, and Bi I know Ao refers to the constant of the model. But what

Hello all, I would like how to modelized a time serie with AR-ARCH process. It can be used arma and garch functions in tseries package for build ar process or a garch process, but how can it be modelized a ar-garch model ? Thanks [[alternative HTML version deleted]]

Follow the example in tseries, we can simulated a GARCH(0,2), n <- 1100 a <- c(0.1, 0.5, 0.2) # ARCH(2) coefficients e <- rnorm(n) x <- double(n) x[1:2] <- rnorm(2, sd = sqrt(a[1]/(1.0-a[2]-a[3]))) for(i in 3:n) # Generate ARCH(2) process { x[i] <- e[i]*sqrt(a[1]+a[2]*x[i-1]^2+a[3]*x[i-2]^2) } x <- ts(x[101:1100]) and x is a GARCH(0,2). But, I would like to know how

hi, I try to code garch-t(1,1),egach(1,1) and gjr(1,1) to estimate my data. How I can code these model with my data (e.g. garch code is y<-garch(x,order=c(1,1)) best regards, luck

Hello, I have a univariate data set, and the unconditional variance is 1. I would like to fit a GARCH(1,1) model to the data set with a constraint: \omega (the constant parameter in GARCH(1,1)) is equal to 1-\alpha-\beta. So the unconditional variance can be controled to be \omega /(1-\alpha-\beta) = 1. I was using garchFit (fGARCH package) but did not find the way to control. Any help?

Hallo, i want to fit a GARCH model with a extern regressor (without arma components), so i found the following function in package fGarch. I tryed out a lot of things but usually I get this Error. > garchFit(formula=y~x, formula.var=~garch(1,1),data=w) Error in .garchFit(formula.mean, formula.var, series = x, init.rec, delta, : Algorithm only supported for mci Recursion I think i use the

Ukech U. Kidi wrote: > dax<- diff(log(DAX_CAC$DAX[1:1865])) > m1<- garch(dax) > Error: couldn't find function "garch" > m1<- garch(dax[1:1865]) > Error: couldn't find function "garch" > m1<- garch(dax[1:1865]) I am sorry, but I forgot to change the addres to r-help in the reply. Well, I am not sure, wheere do you want to get

Hello Following some standard textbooks on ARMA(1,1)-GARCH(1,1) (e.g. Ruey Tsay's Analysis of Financial Time Series), I try to write an R program to estimate the key parameters of an ARMA(1,1)-GARCH(1,1) model for Intel's stock returns. For some random reason, I cannot decipher what is wrong with my R program. The R package fGarch already gives me the answer, but my customized function

Hi, there, First of all, I am not familar with the GARCH concept as well as R interface. I have three questions regarding GARCH (1,1). First, I got tseries package from CRAN. Where exactly am I supposed to install it? In my case, I copies it to C:\Program Files\R\rw2001\library. What do I need to do in order to actually install it? Second, I am not sure if I've installed it properly, but

Dear aDVISOR, Hope I am not disturbing you. Can you tell me how I can perform Multivariate Garch analysis in R. Also please, it is my humble request let me know some resource materials on Multivariate Garch analysis itself. Sincerely yours, -- Arun Kumar Saha, M.Sc.[C.U.] S T A T I S T I C I A N [Analyst] Transgraph Consulting [www.transgraph.com] Hyderabad, INDIA Contact # Home:

Hey Guys, i want to do a CAPM-GARCH model. I didn?t find anything posted online. (If there is something - shame on me - i didn?t find it.) My Problem: What is the difference if I let the residuals ?e? follow a garch process ? How do I do my regression analysis now? I began reading about regression analyis with heteroscedasticity, but didn?t get it. So i started programming. First

Dear R users, Could you please help me out. I am in trouble as I am unable to model graphs to explain the GARCH (1 , 1) model, the Hill estimator (of alpha), and the Pareto estimator. I just got introduce to R. I am working on a paper which must be worked from R. You look at the difficulty I had from the text below. [1] "DAX" "DAX_CAC" "DAX_CAC40"

Hi I compared garch results in R with those give by other software and found that their coefficients are different from each other. So I wondered that a convention the garch funcion in R takes. By testing the output, I noticed it seems that garch function in R by default takes such a convention: y(t) = c + sigma(t) where c=0 and sigma(t) = a(0) + a(1)*epsilon^2 + b(1)*sigma(t-1)^2. I also checked

Hi All, I,m trying to do a GARCH simulation in R 2.3.0 release in Windows XP. I've seen garchsim function but that is for garch (1,1) and ?garch gives an example for ARCH simulation. Can anyone help me how can i extend the help shown in ?garch to GARCH simulation? Please help me in this regard. Thanks, Sumanta Basak.