similar to: help with ARIMA and predict

Displaying 20 results from an estimated 3000 matches similar to: "help with ARIMA and predict"

2003 Dec 18
1
Help with predict.Arima with external regressor values [Repalced]
Hi all there I am enjoying R since 2 weeks and I come to my first deadlock, il am trying to use predict.Arima in the ts package. I get a "Error in cbind(...) : cannot create a matrix from these types" -- Start R session ----------------------------------------------------- > fitdiv <- arima(data, c(2, 0, 3), xreg = y ) ; print(fitdiv) Call: arima(x = data, order = c(2, 0, 3),
2013 Mar 22
0
predict.Arima error "'xreg' and 'newxreg' have different numbers of columns"
Hello all, I use arima to fit the model with fit <- arima(y, order = c(1,0,1), xreg = list.indep, include.mean = TRUE) and would like to use predict() to forecast: chn.forecast <- rep(0,times=num.record) chn.forecast[1] <- y[1] for (j in 2:num.record){ indep <- c(aa=chn.forecast[j-1], list.indep[j,2:num.indep]) # this is the newxreg in the
2010 Mar 31
1
predict.Arima: warnings from xreg magic
When I run predict.Arima in my code, I get warnings like: Warning message: In cbind(intercept = rep(1, n), xreg) : number of rows of result is not a multiple of vector length (arg 1) I think this is because I'm not running predict.Arima in the same environment that I did the fit, so the data object used in the fit is no longer present. Looking at the predict.Arima source,
2009 Feb 17
0
What's the predict procedure of ARIMA in R?
Hello,guys: Recently, I am working on a seasonal ARIMA model. And I met some problem in the forecasting. Now I just want to know that How does R perform the predict procedure(the predict formula, the initial setting of errors,etc.)? I run the following commands and get the original code of the "predict" command, but I can't read it. Can anybody explain it to me? Thanks! saji from
2012 Apr 26
1
Using the R predict function to forecast a model fit with auto.arima function
Hello R users, Hope everyone is doing great. I have a dataset that is in .csv format and consists of two columns: one named Period (which contains dates in the format yyyy_mm) and goes from 1995_10 to 2007_09 and the second column named pcumsdry which is a volumetric measure and has been formatted as numeric without any commas or decimals. I imported the dataset as pauldataset and made use of
2010 May 04
1
How to make predictions with the predict() method on an arimax object using arimax() from TSA library
Hi R Users, I'm fairly new to R (about 3 months use thus far.) I wanting to use the arimax function from the TSA library to incorporate some exogenous inputs into the basic underllying arima model.Then with that newly model of type arimax, I would like to make a prediction. To avoid being bogged down with issues specific to my own work, I would like to refer to readers to the example
2007 Mar 02
0
R: ARIMA forecasting
Dear all, I just have a short question regarding the forecasting of ARIMA models with external regressors. I tried to program a ARX(1) model arx.mod <- arima(reihe.lern, order = c(1, 0, 0), seasonal = list(order = c(0, 0, 0), period = 52), xreg = lern.design, include.mean = TRUE) for which I need to estimate the next (105th) value. Xreg=lern.design is - at this time - 104 rows long. I
2009 Jan 23
1
forecasting error?
Hello everybody! I have an ARIMA model for a time series. This model was obtained through an auto.arima function. The resulting model is a ARIMA(2,1,4)(2,0,1)[12] with drift (my time series has monthly data). Then I perform a 12-step ahead forecast to the cited model... so far so good... but when I look the plot of my forecast I see that the result is really far from the behavior of my time
2009 Jan 21
1
forecasting issue
Hello everybody! I have a problem when I try to perform a forecast of an ARIMA model produced by an auto.arima function. Here is what I'm doing: c<-auto.arima(fil[[1]],start.p=0,start.q=0,start.P=0,start.Q=0,stepwise=TRUE,stationary=FALSE,trace=TRUE) # fil[[1]] is time series of monthly data ARIMA(0,0,0)(0,1,0)[12] with drift : 1725.272 ARIMA(0,0,0)(0,1,0)[12] with drift
2003 Dec 18
0
Help with predict.Arima with external regressor values
Hi all there I am enjoying R since 2 weeks and I come to my first deadlock, il am trying to use predict.Arima in the ts package. I get a "Error in cbind(...) : cannot create a matrix from these types" -- Start R session ----------------------------------------------------- > fitdiv <- arima(data, c(2, 0, 3), xreg = y ) ; print(fitdiv) Call: arima(x = data, order = c(2, 0, 3),
2009 Mar 08
0
ARIMA second order differencing problem
Hi, I have been using this site ( http://www.stat.pitt.edu/stoffer/tsa2/Rissues.htm) to help me with some ARIMA modelling in R. Unfortunately the methods mentioned do not appear to work with second order differencing; arima(*, 2, *). I have used some dummy data to illustrate my point. When I use the xreg=... method, the estimate of intercept is *way* off. This can be seen by the high s.e but I
2003 Apr 16
0
arima function - estimated coefficients and forecasts
I'm using the arima function to estimate coefficients and also using predict.Arima to forecast. This works nicely and I can see that the results are the same as using SAS's proc arima. I can also take the coefficent estimates for a simple model like ARIMA(2,1,0) and manually compute the forecast. The results agree to 5 or 6 decimal places. I can do this for models with and without
2008 Sep 22
0
auto.arima help.
Hello, I am calling the auto.arima method in the forecast package at it returns what seems to be valid Arima output. But when I feed this output to 'predict' I get: Error in predict.Arima(catall.fit[[.index]], n.ahead = 12) : 'xreg' and 'newxreg' have different numbers of columns Is there a way to tell what is being supplied to xreg from the Arima output? Any ideas?
2008 Jul 08
0
forecast & xreg
Dear all, I am fitting an arimax (arima with some extra explanatory variables) model to a time series. Say, I have a Y (dependent variable) and an X (explanatory). Y is 100 observations (time series) and X is 100 + 20 (20 to use for the forecast horizon). I can not make xreg work with the forecast function for an arima fit. The "predict" function seems to be working but the
2007 Sep 25
2
Need help with function writing
Hello: If anyone could guide me with this I would greatly appreciate it. Thanking you in advance for your assistance. Using a 3-level input factor alternative so that a function(below) can compute both a two-sided and one-sided p-values. Making the two-sided test the default. And produce output information about which alternative was tested. Where would I place the ifelse statement?
2003 Apr 21
2
Anyone Familiar with Using arima function with exogenous variables?
I've posted this before but have not been able to locate what I'm doing wrong. I cannot determine how the forecast is made using the estimated coefficients from a simple AR(2) model when there is an exogenous variable. Does anyone know what the problem is? The help file for arima doesn't show the model with any exogenous variables. I haven't been able to locate any documents
2007 Sep 24
1
hypothesis testing
This was sent to me by someone on the R-list ( I don't know her ) but I don't have time to look at this right now so I told her I would send it to the R-list because she said it keeps getting bounced when she sends it. #======================================================================= ==================================================================== I am a bit confused with
2009 Jul 15
2
storing lm() results and other objects in a list
to clean up some code I would like to make a list of arbitrary length to store?various objects for use in a loop sample code: ############ BEGIN SAMPLE ############## # You can see the need for a loop already linearModel1=lm(modelSource ~ .,mcReg) linearModel2=step(linearModel1) linearModel3=lm(modelSource ~ .-1,mcReg) linearModel4=step(linearModel3) #custom linearModel5=lm(modelSource ~ .
2011 May 02
2
easy way to do a 2-D fit to an array of data?
Hi, I've got a matrix, Z, of values representing (as it happens) optical power at each pixel location. Since I know in advance I've got a single, convex peak, I would like to do a 2D parabolic fit of the form Z = poly((x+y),2) where x and y are the x,y coordinates of each pixel (or equivalently, the row, column numbers). Is there an R function that lets me easily implement that?
2006 Oct 27
2
Multivariate regression
Hi, Suppose I have a multivariate response Y (n x k) obtained at a set of predictors X (n x p). I would like to perform a linear regression taking into consideration the covariance structure of Y within each unit - this would be represented by a specified matrix V (k x k), assumed to be the same across units. How do I use "lm" to do this? One approach that I was thinking of