Displaying 20 results from an estimated 5000 matches similar to: "seasonal fractional ARIMA models"
2004 Jul 01
2
[gently off topic] arima seasonal question
Hello R People:
When using the arima function with the seasonal option, are the seasonal
options only good for monthly and quarterly data, please?
Also, I believe that weekly and daily data are not appropriate for seasonal
parm estimation via arima.
Is that correct, please?
Thanks,
Sincerely,
Laura Holt
mailto: lauraholt_983 at hotmail.com
download!
2017 Jun 20
1
How to write an estimated seasonal ARIMA model from R output?
I'm trying to use the following command.
arima (x, order = c(p,d,q), seasonal =list(order=c(P,D,Q), period=s)
How can I write an estimated seasonal ARIMA model from the outputs. To be specifically, which sign to use? I know R uses a different signs from S plus.
Is it correct that the model is:
(1-ar1*B-ar2*B^2-...)(1-sar1*B^s-sar2*B^2s-....)(1-B)^d(1-B^s)^D
2011 Dec 28
2
Census ARIMA x-12 seasonal adjustment in R?
Hello,
I am new to usin R - which is a great tool - and would like to know if R
has a seasonal adjustment program for time series and/if it incorporates
the Census Bureau's ARIMA x-12 seasonal adjustment program in any way?
Thanks so much!
Tony
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2011 Jul 04
1
forecast: bias in sampling from seasonal Arima model?
Dear all,
I stumbled upon what appears to be a troublesome issue when sampling from an
ARIMA model (from Rob Hyndman's excellent 'forecast' package) that contains
a seasonal AR component.
Here's how to reproduce the issue. (I'm using R 2.9.2 with forecast 2.19;
see sessionInfo() below).
First some data:
> x <- c(
0.132475, 0.143119, 0.108104, 0.247291, 0.029510,
2009 Nov 01
1
problems whit seasonal ARIMA
Hello,
I have daily wind speed data and need to fit seasonal ARIMA model, problem
is that my period is 365. But when I use arima(...) function, with period
365, I?m getting error message: ?Error in makeARIMA(trarma[[1]],
trarma[[2]], Delta, kappa) : maximum supported lag is 350?. Can someone
help me with this problem?
Thank you
Sincerely yours,
Laura Saltyte
2011 Dec 12
1
Question about fitting seasonal ARIMA in R?
Hi all,
I just couldn't find a R function which can fit multiple seasonal
patters... i.e. in the following code:
*arima(x = data, order = c(p, d, q), seasonal = list(order = c(P, D, Q),
period = S), ...
***
*
there can be only one "period", am I right?
What if the data seem to have three different seasonality cycles, 5, 12, 21?
Thanks a lot!
*
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2004 Mar 22
1
problem with seasonal arima
hallo to all
I've to calculate an arima model and I need only the
first and 365 th parameter and also the sar1 and the
intercept, so I'm traing with:
arima(X,order=c(365,0,0),seasonal=list(order=c(1,0,0),..),fixed=c(NA,rep(0,363),NA,NA,NA),transform.pars=F)
but the error answer is:
Error in polyroot(z) : polynomial degree too high (49
max)
also there are problems in allocating memory
2004 Jul 04
1
Re: Seasonal ARMA model
> It might clarify your thinking to note that a seasonal ARIMA model
> is just an ``ordinary'' ARIMA model with some coefficients
> constrained to be 0 in an efficient way. E.g. a seasonal AR(1) s =
> 4 model is the same as an ordinary (nonseasonal) AR(4) model with
> coefficients theta_1, theta_2, and theta_3 constrained to be 0. You
> can get the same answer as from
2002 Mar 08
4
ARMA and ARIMA modeling
I'd like to play with ARIMA models of stock prices, but I am a complete novice.
Could some kind soul explain the relationship among packages "ts", "tseries",
"dse", "dse2", and "fracdiff"? Are they 'competing' products or does one
depend on another? Where would be the best place for a novice to begin?
Thanks for any advice.
PS. I
2025 Jan 02
1
Possible issue in stats/arima.R package
>>>>> Martin Maechler on Thu, 2 Jan 2025 20:42:58 +0100 writes:
>>>>> Duncan Murdoch on Thu, 2 Jan 2025 11:28:45 -0500 writes:
>> On 2025-01-02 11:20 a.m., Duncan Murdoch wrote:
>>> On 2025-01-02 9:04 a.m., Norbert Kuder wrote:
>>>> Hello all,
>>>>
>>>> I am running R version 4.4.2 (2024-10-31
2012 Feb 05
1
fractional cointegration
Dear folk,
I am stempting to estimate a vector error correction model using a
seemingly fractionally integrated multivariate time series. The
*fracdiff *package
provides tools to estimate degree of fractional integration. But
*fracdiff *can't
help me to:
1. test equality of two degrees of fractional integration, say d1=d2?
2. estimate a multivariate cointegrating error correction model,
2025 Jan 02
2
Possible issue in stats/arima.R package
>>>>> Duncan Murdoch
>>>>> on Thu, 2 Jan 2025 11:28:45 -0500 writes:
> On 2025-01-02 11:20 a.m., Duncan Murdoch wrote:
>> On 2025-01-02 9:04 a.m., Norbert Kuder wrote:
>>> Hello all,
>>>
>>> I am running R version 4.4.2 (2024-10-31 ucrt) on Windows 10 x64, and
>>> noticed something that might
2005 Aug 27
1
ARIMA (seasonal) backcasting & interpolation
Thanks for everyone's help with zoo -- I think I've got my data set
ready. (The data consists of surface weather temperatures, from 2002
to 2005, one observation per hour. Some values are missing... i.e. NA)
I have three goals:
GOAL #1:Get the data in proper time series form, preserving frequency
information:
> w4.ts <- as.ts( w3.zoo, frequency=(1/3600) )
I hope that 1/3600
2005 Jul 26
3
farimaSim
Hello!
I installed the fSeries package to get some farima time-series which i tried
with farimaSim, but unfortunately i got always an error. I tried it this way:
> farimaSim(n = 1000, model = list(ar = 0.5, d = 0.3, ma = 0.1), method="freq")
Error in farimaSim(n = 1000, model = list(ar = 0.5, d = 0.3, ma = 0.1), :
... used in an incorrect context
Some ideas?
Regards,
___
2003 Apr 07
1
filtering ts with arima
Hi,
I have the following code from Splus that I'd like to migrate to R. So far,
the only problem is the arima.filt function. This function allows me to
filter an existing time-series through a previously estimated arima model,
and obtain the residuals for further use. Here's the Splus code:
# x is the estimation time series, new.infl is a timeseries that contains
new information
# a.mle
2005 Oct 13
1
arima: warning when fixing MA parameters.
I am puzzled by the warning message in the output below. It appears
whether or not I fit the seasonal term (but the precise point of doing
this was to fit what is effectively a second seasonal term). Is there
some deep reason why AR parameters
("Warning message: some AR parameters were fixed: ...")
should somehow intrude into the fitting of a model that has only MA
terms?
>
2025 Jan 02
1
Possible issue in stats/arima.R package
On 2025-01-02 11:20 a.m., Duncan Murdoch wrote:
> On 2025-01-02 9:04 a.m., Norbert Kuder wrote:
>> Hello all,
>>
>> I am running R version 4.4.2 (2024-10-31 ucrt) on Windows 10 x64, and
>> noticed something that might be a minor bug (or at least inconsistent code)
>> in the stats/arima.R package.
>> I have found:
>> 1. A missing stop() call at line 69:
2025 Jan 02
1
Possible issue in stats/arima.R package
On 2025-01-02 9:04 a.m., Norbert Kuder wrote:
> Hello all,
>
> I am running R version 4.4.2 (2024-10-31 ucrt) on Windows 10 x64, and
> noticed something that might be a minor bug (or at least inconsistent code)
> in the stats/arima.R package.
> I have found:
> 1. A missing stop() call at line 69:
> if (length(order) == 3) seasonal <- list(order = seasonal) else
2009 Feb 20
0
residuals from a fractional arima model and other questions
Dear list and Martin,
I'm testing different approaches to fit an electricity demand time series and come upon the fracdiff package (v 1.3-1) for fitting fractional ARIMA models. The following questions are motivated by this package.
1. Despite having a help page, the residuals and fitted functions don't seem to have implementation, or did i miss something obvious? Alternatively, having a
2013 Sep 09
1
Fitting Arima Models and Forecasting Using Daily Historical Data
Hello everyone,
I was trying to fit an arima model to a daily historical data, but, for
some reason, havent been able to.
I basically have 212 observations (from 12/1/2012 to 06/30/2013) containing
the number of transits for a particular vessel.
The following messages are produced by R:
dailytrans.fit<-arima(dailytrans$transits, order=c(0,1,2),
seasonal=list(order=c(0,1,2), period=365),