similar to: fGarch: garchFit and include.shape/shape parameters

hello everybody, I would like to fit a model to a times series (testing set) for out of sample predictions using garchFit(). I would like to keep the coefficients of ARMA/GARCH model fixed (as found by fitting the model to my training set). The arima fitting function has such an option for that (fixed=NULL) but the garchFit() doesnt. It is very important for me to keep the same coefficients

Hello, I was using garchFit {fGarch} to fit some GARCH processes. I noticed that the result contains "Log Likelihood" value (right above "Description"), but when I use .. at fit$llh to retrieve Log Likelihood value, the sign switched. I am confused about which value I should choose to report... Any help here? Thanks a lot! Ted -- View this message in context:

Dear all- Package /fGarch/ version 2100.78 in R version 2.8.1 (2008-12-22) running on linux 2.6.22.9-91.fc7 In trying to fit garch models in above environment. I am getting "reasonable" fitted coefficients, but the fitObject@fitted are all the same. This is true even for the help page example: library(fGarch) R> X.timeSeries = as.timeSeries(msft.dat) R> head( +

Dear expeRts, How can I specify the order p,q of a GARCH(p,q) model within a loop? Here's a minimal example showing that an "Formula and data units do not match"-error appears: library(fGarch) spec <- garchSpec(model = list(alpha = 0.1, beta = c(0.4, 0.4))) data <- garchSim(spec, n = 100) x <- list() for(q in 1:3){ print(q) x[q] <-

Hi there, I'm trying to fit a GJR-GARCH Model using fGarch. I wanted to try that by fitting an APARCH model with a fixed delta of 2 and a non-fixed gamma. So I was simply trying to use: spec <- garchFit(~aparch(1,1),data=garchSim(),delta=2) coef(spec) And sometimes, it's working like a charm and delta is indeed exactly 2 in the resulting coefficient vector. Frequently, though, the

Hello. I am using fGarch to estimate the following model: Call: garchFit(formula = fmla, data = X[, i], trace = F) Mean and Variance Equation: data ~ arma(1, 1) + garch(1, 1) Conditional Distribution: norm Coefficient(s): mu ar1 ma1 omega alpha1 beta1 -0.94934 1.00000 -0.23211 54.06402 0.45709 0.61738 Std. Errors: based on Hessian Error Analysis:

Greetings, Suppose I fit an fGarch model via garchFit function for a time series X. I'm wondering is there any easy way to apply the fitted model to a different time series Y to calculate conditional variances and standardized residuals? Thanks. -- View this message in context: http://r.789695.n4.nabble.com/Applying-previously-fitted-fGarch-model-tp3249585p3249585.html Sent from the R help

Hello, I’ve fitted a Garch(2,1) model with function 'garchFit()' from the package 'fGarch': > m1 <- garchFit(formula = ~garch(2,1),data = X,trace = F) * See 'summary(m1)' OUTPUT BELOW * PROBLEM: My alpha1 term is not significant and I would like to make a NEW model, say m2, that does not contain alpha1, but I am not sure how to specify this with the garchFit()

Hi, i am working in the forecast of the daily price crude . The last prices of this data are the following: 100.60 101.47 100.20 100.06 98.68 101.28 101.05 102.13 101.70 98.27 101.00 100.50 100.03 102.23 102.68 103.32 102.67 102.23 102.14 101.25 101.11 99.90 98.53 96.76 96.12 96.54 96.30 95.92 95.92 93.45 93.71 96.42 93.99 93.76 95.24 95.63 95.95 95.83 95.65

Hello - Here's what I'm trying to do. I want to fit a time series y with ARMA(1,1) + GARCH(1,1), there are also an exogeneous variable x which I wish to include, so the whole equation looks like: y_t - \phi y_{t-1} = \sigma_t \epsilon_t + \theta \sigma_{t-1} \epsilon_{t-1} + c x_t where \epsilon_t are i.i.d. random variables \sigma_t^2 = omega + \alpha \sigma_{t-1}^2 + \beta

Hi all, I was trying garchFIt() of fSeries to fit volatility of monthly log returns of S&P500. I tried residuals of normal, student t, skew normal, skew t. But all innovations except normal got exaxtly same coefficients, even if I changed their parameters of skew and shape. Is this correct for the data or something wrong? I am attaching the code, thank you. Muster #GARCH analysis of

Hi, I am attempting to fit a ARMA/GARCH regression model without success. ### ARIMA-GARCH model with regressor ### ### Time series data: A multivariate data set. cov.ts.dq = cov.ts[1:4,"dq1"][!is.na(cov.ts[,"dq1"])] cov.ts.day = ts.intersect(dq = diff(q.ts), day = lag(q.ts, -1)) ### The following R scripts work: (summary(no.day.fitr <- garchFit(dq ~ arma(0,3) +

Hi all, I post it on both r-help and r-finance since I don't know where is most appropriate for this topic. Sorry if it bothers you. I did garch fitting on S&P500 monthly returns with garchFit from fSeries. I got same coefficients from all cond.dist except normal. I thought that is probabaly usual for the data. But when I play with it, I got another question. I plot skew normal with

Good day everyone, I fitted a GARCH model to a time series and R estimated the model and provide me with the estimates. However, when I tried to extract the fitted values from the estimated model I got the following error message: "Error in .local(object, ...) : object "fit" not found"   I used the following to extract the fitted values fitted_TASI <- fitted(garchFit(~

Hello I am trying to use predict from an arma-Garch model (arma(2, 2) + garch(1, 1)) and I am getting the following error: Error en arima(x = object@data, order = c(max(u, 1), 0, max(v, 1)), init = c(ar, : non-stationary AR part from CSS Does anybody know what can be the reason of this error? The model I have estimated is the following: Title: GARCH Modelling Call: garchFit(formula =

Hi everybody, I have fitted an ar(1),Garch(1,1) model to some observations with the help of the garchFit function which is in the fGarch package. Here what I've done: library("fGarch") fit = garchFit(formula=~ar(1)+~garch(1,1), data=garat) Now I want to count AIC for this model. How can I do it? I cannot do it with the AIC function of stats package, because R tells me: "Error

Dear R users, I need to estimate an ARCH(1,0) model with t-residuals. To do this I use garchFit function from fGarch library. However, I get the following error message: Error in.garchInitParameters (formula.mean = formula.mean, formula.var = formula.var, ): object "alpha" not found I tried to estimate this model with different series, but I always get this error message. For example,

Hallo, i want to fit a GARCH model with a extern regressor (without arma components), so i found the following function in package fGarch. I tryed out a lot of things but usually I get this Error. > garchFit(formula=y~x, formula.var=~garch(1,1),data=w) Error in .garchFit(formula.mean, formula.var, series = x, init.rec, delta, : Algorithm only supported for mci Recursion I think i use the

Hello I want to predict the future values of time series with Garch When I specified my model like this: library(fGarch) ret <- diff(log(x))*100 fit = garchFit(~arma(1,0,0)+garch(1, 1), data =ret) predict(fit, n.ahead = 10) meanForecast meanError standardDeviation 1 0.01371299 0.03086350 0.03305819 2 0.01211893 0.03094519 0.03350248

Dear R experts, I am trying to estimate an ARMA 2,2 model with garch errors. I used the following code on R 2.9. #library library(fGarch) #data data1<-ts(read.table("C:/Users/falcon/Desktop/Time Series/exports/goods1.csv"), start=c(1992,1), frequency=12) head(data1) #garch garchFit(formula.mean= ~arma(2,2),formula.var=~garch(1,1), data=data1) but get this error: >