similar to: predict a MA timeseries

Hi all, I have n independent variables A_1, A_2, A_3,......,A_n, and each with known variances var(A_1), var(A_2),..., but unknown mean. How can I get the approximation of the variance of the product of the variables using numerical computation, i.e. var(A_1*A_2*A_3*.....*A_n)? Thanks. Sincerely, Yanwei Zhang Department of Actuarial Research and Modeling Munich Re America Tel: 609-275-2176

Hello to all, I am having trouble with intregrating a complicated uni-dimensional function of the following form Phi(x-a_1)*Phi(x-a_2)*...*Phi(x-a_{n-1})*phi(x-a_n). Here n is about 5000, Phi is the cumulative distribution function of standard normal, phi is the density function of standard normal, and x ranges over (-infty,infty). My idea is to to use quadrature to handle this integral. But

I am trying to make the following Kalman filter equations work and therefore produce their graphs. v_t=y_t - a_t a_t+1=a_t+K_t*v_t F_t=P_t+sigma.squared.epsilon P_t+1=P_t*(1-K_t)+sigma.squared.eta K_t=P_t/F_t Given: a_1=0,P_1=10^7,sigma.squared.epsilon=15099, sigma.squared.eta=1469.1 I have attached my code,which of course doesnt work.It produces NAs for the Fs,Ks and the a. Can somebody tell me

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When you say that distribution shouldn't be used, do you mean within instcombine rather than some other pass? Or not all as an IR optimization? A dedicated optimization pass that looks for and makes factoring/distribution folds to eliminate instructions seems like it would solve the problems that I'm seeing. Ie, I'm leaning towards the proposal here: https://reviews.llvm.org/D41574

Hi all, Best wishes for the new year! :'') I''m very new to Ruby and Rails, and I ran into a problem with the "paginate" function. When I use the following method to get a number of forum topics based on a category name passed via the URI: @topic_pages, @topics = paginate :topics, :joins => "INNER JOIN categories ON

> I asked myself the same question. Without mod, how do you ensure that for instance the expression 2*i+255 was not actually 2*i-1 ? I think it is not possible in general, but I believe it is possible in case of affine expressions used as GEP indices. I assume, GEP indices (except indexing into struct) are interpreted as signed integers. It isn't explicitly stated in the LangRef, but

>However, there is one issue I have ignored - possibility of overflow in >the index expression. Suppose, we have such a loop: > for (i8 i = 0; i != 200; ++i) { > A[2 * i + 5] = ... > ... = A[2 * i + 3] > } >If both index expressions are evaluated in 8-bit arithmetic, >then the dependence equation should be solved in modular arithmetic: > 2 * i + 5 == 2 * (i +

> On May 8, 2018, at 9:50 AM, Daniel Berlin via llvm-dev <llvm-dev at lists.llvm.org> wrote: > > 1. The reassociate pass that exists right now was *originally* (AFAIK) written to enable CSE/GVN to do better. Agreed. The original mindset included a (naive) belief that going with a canonical form was better than teaching redundancy elimination to handle abstractions (as a matter

Mirando los comentarios, realmente lo que deseo es encontrar la raíz real de (-0.5)^(1/5) la cual debería ser -0.87055056329. José me hace caer en cuenta que además de no encontrar la raiz real, tampoco da todas las raiz complejas. Habría alguna manera de que tuviera en cuenta? > ------------------------------ > > Message: 6 > Date: Thu, 15 Oct 2015 11:25:39 +0200 > From: José

Dear list fellows, I want to study time series and use R to analyse time series of fishing data from several species (landings and cpue) investigating the correlation between them and with environmental factors (water temperature, wind, etc.). Searching at Amazon I found three books with examples in R: Time Series Analysis: With Applications in R by Jonathan D. Cryer and Jonathan D. Cryer

I'm trying to use the following command. arima (x, order = c(p,d,q), seasonal =list(order=c(P,D,Q), period=s) How can I write an estimated seasonal ARIMA model from the outputs. To be specifically, which sign to use? I know R uses a different signs from S plus. Is it correct that the model is: (1-ar1*B-ar2*B^2-...)(1-sar1*B^s-sar2*B^2s-....)(1-B)^d(1-B^s)^D

Dear all, I am trying to write an R function that can estimate Transfer functions *with additive noise* i.e. Y_t = \delta^-1(B)\omega(B)X_{t-b} + N_t where B is the backward shift operator, b is the delay and N_t is a noisy component that can be modelled as an ARMA process. The parameters to both the impulse response function and the ARMA noisy component need to be estimated simultaneously. I

I am new in R. I can simulate Arma, using Arima.sim However, I want to simulate an Arima Model. Say (1-B)Zt=5+(1-B)at. I do not know how to deal with 5 in this model. Can any one could help me? Thank you very much! Regards, -- View this message in context: http://www.nabble.com/simulate-arima-model-tp23239027p23239027.html Sent from the R help mailing list archive at Nabble.com.

Hi, as i suppose to know in a stationary GARCH(1,1) model the sum of alpha and beta has to be smaller than 1. But if i use the garchfit() function from the package fGarch for my timeseries the sum is bigger than 1. The adf.test tells me a p-value smaller than 0.01 instead. What does this mean for me? Can i trust in the coefficients in this case? mfg user84 -- View this message in context:

Dear All, I have six different campaign and 5 different agent have login on that campaign.*Same thing i have done using agi and database,i never use queue management on this scenario. Agent** can also shuffling one campaign to anther campaign. * Now i want to do some work with queue.I want to use single queue to managing this. Eg: campaign Agent Login A a_1,a_3

Dear R experts, I was wondering if there are any R functions that give the tail area of a sum of chisquare distributions of the type: a_1 X_1 + a_2 X_2 where a_1 and a_2 are constants and X_1 and X_2 are independent chi-square variables with different degrees of freedom. Thanks, Klaus -- "Feel free" - 5 GB Mailbox, 50 FreeSMS/Monat ...

Hi, I want to fit a mean and variance model jointly. For example I might want to fit an AR(2)-GARCH(1,1) model i.e. r_t = constant_term1 + b*r_t-1 + c*r_t-2 + a_t where a_t = sigma_t*epsilon_t where sigma^2_t = constant_term2 + p*sigma^2_t-1 + q*a^2_t-1 i.e. R estimates a constant_term1, b, c, constant_term2, p, q TIA Aditya

Hi, The default value for lag.max in ACF implementation is 10*log10(N) There several publications recommending setting lag.max to: - N/4 (Box and Jenkins, 1970; Chatfield, 1975; Anderson, 1976; Pankratz, 1983; Davis, 1986; etc.) - sqrt(N)+10 (Cryer, 1986) - 20<=N<=40 (Brockwell and Davis) Why R uses 10*log10(N) as a default? Please, give me a reference to a book or article where the

Dear All, I've been searching relevant topics about replacing values, none seemed to be applicable to me... I have a file with many many varieties, and want to replace some of them into different names. I tried various of ways, still don't know how to do that most efficiently.. Here is part of the example data: Gen Rep A_1 1 A_1 2 A_2 1 A_2 2 B_1 1 B_1