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vlmc
2003 Oct 01
3
fitting Markov chains
I need to find a computationally simple process for the movement of
interest rates. In this simplified model, an interest rate can have
3--5 possible values, and its movement is characterized by a matrix of
transition probabilities (ie, it is a Markov process).
I would like to estimate this process from a given set of data.
For example, let the interest rate time series be:
7 3 8 2 5 9 6