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Hi all, We followed some books and sample codes and did some EMM estimation, only to find it won't be able to generate forecast. This is because in the stochastic volatility models we are estimating, the volatilities are latent variables, and we want to forecast 1-step ahead or h-step ahead volatilities. So it is nice to have the system estimated, but we couldn't get it to forecast at

To whom it may concern: I am trying to better understand the functionality of 'R' when making arima predictions to avoid any "Black Box" disadvantages. I'm fitting a seasonal arima model using the following command (having already loaded 'stat' package). arimaSeason <- arima(Data,order=c(1,0,1),seasonal=list(order=c(1,0,1),period=12)) I can then generate