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2011 Dec 01
1
Estimation of AR(1) Model with Markov Switching
...] # construct probabilities #probit specification p_s0_s0 <- pnorm(gamma_s0) p_s0_s1 <- pnorm(gamma_s1) p_s1_s0 <- 1-pnorm(gamma_s0) p_s1_s1 <- 1-pnorm(gamma_s1) # create data matrix X <- cbind(1,y) # assume erogodicity of the markov chain # use unconditional probabilities p0_s0 <- (1 - p_s1_s1) / (2 -p_s0_s0 -p_s1_s1) p0_s1 <- 1-p0_s0 # create variables p_s0_t_1 <- rep(0, nrow(X)) p_s1_t_1 <- rep(0, nrow(X)) p_s0_t <- rep(0, nrow(X)) p_s1_t <- rep(0, nrow(X)) f_s0 <- rep(0,nrow(X)-1) f_s1 <- rep(0,nrow(X)-1) f <- rep(0,nrow(X)-1) logf <- r...