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...) is much greater than those of the data. I realise that poisson and NB models are different in the sense that expectations for the NB model do not need to be equal (however the over-estimation of the NB model is too much i believe) - Sometimes there exist a datapoint that predicts 1000 times more occurences than what would be expected. - Sometimes the model with offset predicts sensible results but if I take the offset and use log(variable) I obtain some datapoints that predict many more occurenes than what would be expected. I have tried to create an example of the aforementioned problems. Ho...