search for: koyck

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2013 Apr 01
1
Parameter Estimation in R with Sums and Lagged Variables
Hi guys, I am afraid I am stuck with an estimation problem. I have two variables, X and Y. Y is explained by the weighted sum of n lagged values of X. My aim is to estimate the two parameters c(alpha0,alpha1) in: Yt = Sum from j=1 to n of ( ( alpha0 + alpha1 * j ) * Xt-j ) Where Xt-j denotes the jth lag of X. I came up with this approach because I thought it would be a good idea to estimate
2011 Nov 30
2
forecasting linear regression from lagged variable
I'm currently working with some time series data with the xts package, and would like to generate a forecast 12 periods into the future. There are limited observations, so I am unable to use an ARIMA model for the forecast. Here's the regression setup, after converting everything from zoo objects to vectors. hire.total.lag1 <- lag(hire.total, lag=-1, na.pad=TRUE) lm.model <-