search for: armas

(My apologies if this is a repeated posting. I couldn't find any trace of my previous attempt in the archive.) I'm having trouble with forecast() in the dse2 package. It works fine for me on a model without a trend, but gives me NaN output for the forecast values when using a model with a trend. An example: # Set inputs and outputs for the ARMA model fit and test periods

Thanks a lot to everybody that helped me out with this. Conclusions: (1) In order to edit arima in R: >fix(arima) or alternatively: >arima<-edit(arima) (2) This is not contained in the "Introduction to R" manual. (3) A "productive" fix of arima is attached (arma coefficients printed out and error catched so that it doesn't halt parent loops to search for

Hi there, Does anyone know how to predict ARMA? It doesn?t have either predict or forecast methods. I found couple of packages called fbasic and fseries at http://www.itp.phys.ethz.ch/econophysics/R/, which has ?arma.predict? in it, but it doesn?t seem to be working. Any help in this regard would be appreciated. Thanks in advance. Regards Skanda Kallur "Prediction is very difficult,

Dear all, running the example by D. Eddebuettel (http://dirk.eddelbuettel.com/blog/2011/04/23/) I get an error message. Specifically, the R code I was taking from the above example is ### BEGIN EXAMPLE ### suppressMessages(require(RcppArmadillo)) suppressMessages(require(Rcpp)) suppressMessages(require(inline)) code <- ' arma::mat coeff = Rcpp::as<arma::mat>(a); arma::mat

to clean up some code I would like to make a list of arbitrary length to store?various objects for use in a loop sample code: ############ BEGIN SAMPLE ############## # You can see the need for a loop already linearModel1=lm(modelSource ~ .,mcReg) linearModel2=step(linearModel1) linearModel3=lm(modelSource ~ .-1,mcReg) linearModel4=step(linearModel3) #custom linearModel5=lm(modelSource ~ .

I'd like to fit an ARMA(1,1) model to some data (Federal Reserve Bank interest rates) that looks like: ... 30JUN2006, 5.05 03JUL2006, 5.25 04JUL2006, N &lt;---- here! 05JUL2006, 5.25 ... One problem is that holidays have that "N" for their data. As a test, I tried fitting ARMA(1,1) with and without the holidays deleted. In other words, I fit the above data

I am having problems with the package dse. I just installed R 2.2.1 and reinstalled all packages. I am running Windows XP Pro with all updates. Below there are two examples of error messages generated when trying to execute some simple programs. The code was taken directly from the package documentation. Any help on this will be greatly appreciated. Merry Christmas Fernando

Dear R users, I need to fit an ARMA model. As far as I've seen, EACF (extended ACF) is not available in R. 1. Let's say I fit a series of ARMA models in a loop. Given the code/output included below, how do I pull 'Model' and 'Fit' (AIC) from each summary() so that I can combine them into an array/data frame to be sorted by AIC? 2. Apart from EACF, are you aware perhaps

Another pathological test. arima does not crash for that series that crashes arma: arima(c(2.01, 2.22, 2.09, 2.17, 2.42), order=c(1,0,0)) However, arima crashes for this: arima(c(1.71, 1.78, 1.95, 1.59, 2.13), order=c(1,0,0)) arima seems pretty consistent in its crashing behaviour, since crashing for one series means crashing for all affine series: lets.crash.arima <- c(71, 78, 95, 59,

Dear all R user, Please forgive me if my problem is too simple. Actually my problem is basically Statistical rather directly R related. Suppose I have return series ret with mean zero. And I want to fit a Garch(1,1) on this. my is r[t] = h[i]*z[t] h[t] = w + alpha*r[t-1]^2 + beta*h[t-1] I want to estimate the three parameters here; the R syntax is as follows: #

In the summary of the output of arma, there's a number Pr(>|t|), however, I don't know what is its meaning - at least, it doesn't _seem_ to be a Student's t distribution. Reproducible test case: x <- c(0.5, sin(1:9)) reg <- arma(x, c(1,0)) summary(reg) <output> Call: arma(x = x, order = c(1, 0)) Model: ARMA(1,0) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q

Hello, I am running an ARMA model to run forecast for changes in S&P 500 prices. My ARMA calculations look as follows armacal <- arma( spdata, order = c(0,4), lag = list(ma = c(1,2,4)) ) Output: Call: arma(x = spdata, order = c(0, 4), lag = list(ma = c(1, 2, 4)) ) Coefficient(s): ma1 ma2 ma4 intercept -0.073868 0.058020 -0.081292 0.007082 All's

Dear Sir, I think I found a bug in the function arma.sim, which is defined in the help page of the function filter: arma.sim <- function(n, ar = NULL, ma = NULL, sigma = 1.0) { x <- ts(rnorm(n+100, 0, sigma^2), start = -99) if(length(ma)) x <- filter(x, ma, sides=1) if(length(ar)) x <- filter(x, ar, method="recursive") as.ts(x[-(1:100)]) } I am using R

Dear R experts, I am trying to estimate an ARMA 2,2 model with garch errors. I used the following code on R 2.9. #library library(fGarch) #data data1<-ts(read.table("C:/Users/falcon/Desktop/Time Series/exports/goods1.csv"), start=c(1992,1), frequency=12) head(data1) #garch garchFit(formula.mean= ~arma(2,2),formula.var=~garch(1,1), data=data1) but get this error: >

Hello,Could somebody tell me what is the difference between  theese 3 calls of functionsarma(x,order=c(1,0)), arima(x,order=c(1,0,0)) ar(x,order=1)?I expected same residuals of theese three models,but unexpectably for the first two R requiredinitial value of something (what?)...Thanks in advance!  [[alternative HTML version deleted]]

Hi all, I am fitting an ARMA(1,(1,4)) model. y(t) = a*y(t-1) + e(t) + b1*e(t-1) + b4*e(t-4) > arma1.14 <- arma(series, lag=list(ar=1, ma=c(1,4)), + include.intercept = F, qr.tol = 1e-07) works fine: Coefficient(s): ar1 ma1 ma4 0.872 -0.445 0.331 I want to forecast 50 periods. I could not find a 'predict' function for ARMA models. I

Dear List, I am new to TS-Modeling in R. I would like to fit an ARMA(1,1) model for a balanced panel, running Y on a full set of unit and year dummies using an arma(1,1) for the disturbance: y_it=unit.dummies+yeardummies+e_it where: e_it=d*e_it-1+u_it+q*u_it-1 How can I fit this model in R? arma() does not seem to take covariates (or I don't understand how to specify the function so that

Hello, The "arma" function in the "tseries" package allows estimation of models with specific "ar" and "ma" lags with its "lag" argument. For example: y[t] = a[0] + a[1]y[t-3] +b[1]e[t-2] + e[t] can be estimated with the following specification : arma(y, lag=list(ar=3,ma=2)). Is this possible with the "arima" function in the

Hi, I want to fit a regression model with one independent variable. The error part should be fitted an ARMA process. For example, y_t = a + b*x_t + e_t where e_t is modelled as an ARMA process. Please let me know how do I do this in R. What code should I use? TIA Aditya [[alternative HTML version deleted]]

Hello Following some standard textbooks on ARMA(1,1)-GARCH(1,1) (e.g. Ruey Tsay's Analysis of Financial Time Series), I try to write an R program to estimate the key parameters of an ARMA(1,1)-GARCH(1,1) model for Intel's stock returns. For some random reason, I cannot decipher what is wrong with my R program. The R package fGarch already gives me the answer, but my customized function