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Dan Nordlund wrote: "It would be necessary to see the code for your 'brief test' before anyone could meaningfully comment on your results. But your results for a single test could have been a valid "random" result." I've re-created what I did below. The problem appears to be with the weighting process: the unweighted sample came out much closer to the actual

Hi, I am traying to implement an STAR model, but I have some problems. I am following the instruction of the model, that they are in: http://bm2.genes.nig.ac.jp/RGM2/R_current/library/tsDyn/man/star.html that they are from: http://bm2.genes.nig.ac.jp/RGM2/pkg.php?p=tsDyn The model is: star(x, m=2, noRegimes, d = 1, steps = d, series, rob = FALSE, mTh, thDelay, thVar, sig=0.05, trace=TRUE,