Hi, I am working on Predictive analytics assignment i which i need to predict winner of state election . Data set is not very big but have multiple files and as per my understanding only few of them are useful. Problem statement is "* Which party should be given chance by the people to rule Bihar for next five years in assembly election*". For better understanding, I would like to mention few things - Data set do not contain any opinion poll or survey data - All are historical data some are from national poll results and some are from assembly elections which happened in 2005 and 2010 - National election happened in 2014 in which BJP (Bhartiya Janta Party) did well in Bihar. - This election is only happening in one state Bihar not in entire country *My doubts : * - What should be the criteria to select the variable, what are key variable that we consider in any Poll if we are only having historical data - What model and algorithm should we use - Any suggestion how to approach. I am attaching the data set as well Please help me out. I am clueless. -- Thanks & Regards, *Varun Yadav* Department of Management Studies IIT Roorkee,Uttarakhand Contact: 9045999878 <https://in.linkedin.com/pub/varun-yadav/3b/87b/533>