similar to: GARCH Forecast?

> To: Anyone Who Can Help I am new to R and am trying to install a couple of packages but receive this warning/error message. Please help by providing suggestions or solutions to this problem >> chooseCRANmirror() >> utils:::menuInstallPkgs() > Warning: unable to access index for repository > http://www.ibiblio.org/pub/languages/R/CRAN/bin/windows/contrib/2.2 > Warning:

Dear All, I have loaded package(tseries), but when I run predict.garch(...) R tells me could not find function "predict.garch", however ?predict.garch shows me something. I am confused about this. How can I forecast garch volatility? I have tried: predict(...,n.ahead=...),give me fitted value predict(...,n),give me NA,NA

Hi, I've fitted a GARCH(1,1) for the residuals of my time serie (X). X is an ARMA(1,1) process. Now I want to do a n-step forecast for X, knowing these processes. How can I do this? I know that there's a command: predict() for ARIMA processes and so on, but what about GARCH? I've got: arma=arima(x, order=c(1,0,1)) (...) garch11<-garch(residuals(x),order = c(1, 1))

Dear r users, Few days ago I posted the same topic but unable to receive any suggestion. So I am asking this same question. I was trying to fit a garch(1,1) model to my dataset. But while executing I got a warning message "NaNs produced in: sqrt(pred$e)". And got the estimated sd's along with five "NA", but as per my best knowledge I should get only one

Hi all, We followed some books and sample codes and did some EMM estimation, only to find it won't be able to generate forecast. This is because in the stochastic volatility models we are estimating, the volatilities are latent variables, and we want to forecast 1-step ahead or h-step ahead volatilities. So it is nice to have the system estimated, but we couldn't get it to forecast at

Dear everyone, i`m a german economics student, writing my master´s thesis about "Multivariate Volatility Models". After having read about theoretical aspects of Multivariate GARCH ans Stochastic Volatility Models, I would like to compare DCC-GARCH and DC-SV with help of an empirical application. I figuered out that one has to use MCMC-simulation-methods for that. Some days ago I

Dear R users, I am trying to use tseries' garch function in order to determine the volatility of a return series generated by quantmod. Here is the code that I am using: > library(quantmod) > getSymbols("AAPL") convert daily closing prices into continuous log returns > dret<-dailyReturn(AAPL,type='log') check to see that the autocorrelations decay >

Hi, i am working in the forecast of the daily price crude . The last prices of this data are the following: 100.60 101.47 100.20 100.06 98.68 101.28 101.05 102.13 101.70 98.27 101.00 100.50 100.03 102.23 102.68 103.32 102.67 102.23 102.14 101.25 101.11 99.90 98.53 96.76 96.12 96.54 96.30 95.92 95.92 93.45 93.71 96.42 93.99 93.76 95.24 95.63 95.95 95.83 95.65

Dear R People: Is there a way to forecast with GARCH modeling as found in tseries, please? When I use the predict command, I get an output of length 100, regardless of what I put in the n.ahead steps. R Version 1.9.0 Thanks in advance. Sincerely, Laura mailto: lauraholt_983 at hotmail.com download! http://toolbar.msn.click-url.com/go/onm00200413ave/direct/01/

Dear all R user, Please forgive me if my problem is too simple. Actually my problem is basically Statistical rather directly R related. Suppose I have return series ret with mean zero. And I want to fit a Garch(1,1) on this. my is r[t] = h[i]*z[t] h[t] = w + alpha*r[t-1]^2 + beta*h[t-1] I want to estimate the three parameters here; the R syntax is as follows: #

Hi, I am completely new to GARCH models and trying to fit a multivariate time series model using DCC GARCH model and forecast it. The data looks like this: > head(datax) x vibration_x Speed 1 2017-05-16 17:53:00 -0.132 421.4189 2 2017-05-16 17:54:00 -0.296 1296.8882 3 2017-05-16 17:55:00 -0.572 0.0000 4 2017-05-16 17:56:00 -0.736 1254.2695 5

Hello R group, I'm using the tseries package to forecast variance and I would like to do the same with correlation. I can't find any way to do that with the function garch(). for example, I have a matrix of time series Date CACIndex SPXIndex DAXIndex NKYIndex 1 05/01/1998 3072.84 977.07 4384.81 14896.1 2 06/01/1998 3037.73 966.58 4352.63 14896.40 3

Hi guys :) I'm dealing with this problem, perhaps conceptually not that complex, but still - I'm stuck. Two columns, values 1<x<10, only integers. I want to check when the first column's index is identical to the second's (and vice versa). If that's true, I want to add a further column with value 1 (if true) or NA (if false). Thus, I obtain 100 matrices (for each

Hi, Although my doubt is pretty,as i m not from stats background i am not sure how to proceed on this. Currently i am doing a forecasting.I used ARIMA to forecast and time series was volatile i used garchFit for residuals. How to use the output of Garch to correct the forecasted values from ARIMA. Here is my code: ###delta is the data fit<-arima(delta,order=c(2,,0,1)) fit.res <-

Hi, as i suppose to know in a stationary GARCH(1,1) model the sum of alpha and beta has to be smaller than 1. But if i use the garchfit() function from the package fGarch for my timeseries the sum is bigger than 1. The adf.test tells me a p-value smaller than 0.01 instead. What does this mean for me? Can i trust in the coefficients in this case? mfg user84 -- View this message in context:

Hi All, I,m trying to do a GARCH simulation in R 2.3.0 release in Windows XP. I've seen garchsim function but that is for garch (1,1) and ?garch gives an example for ARCH simulation. Can anyone help me how can i extend the help shown in ?garch to GARCH simulation? Please help me in this regard. Thanks, Sumanta Basak.

Dear all, I would like to know that R has the function for garch-t,gjr- garch,qgarch and egarch. Best Regards, Luck

Hey, I'm trying to implement a GARCH model with Johnson-Su innovations in order to simulate returns of financial asset. The model should look like this: r_t = alpha + lambda*sqrt(h_t) + sqrt(h_t)*epsilon_t h_t = alpha0 + alpha1*epsilon_(t-1)^2 + beta1 * h_(t-1). Alpha refers to a risk-free return, lambda to the risk-premium. I've implemented it like this: #specification of the model

Hello, I have a rather complex problem... I will have to explain everything in detail because I cannot solve it by myself...i just ran out of ideas. So here is what I want to do: I take quotes of two indices - S&P500 and DJ. And my first aim is to estimate coefficients of the DCC-GARCH model for them. This is how I do it: library(tseries) p1 = get.hist.quote(instrument =

I need to change the code of Garch to the FCGARCH (a non-linear multi-regime GARCH). I don't know nothing about R. I'd like to know how can I get the code of the garch in order to change it and make the fit for the FC-GARCH. Any non-linear code will be helpfull because if doesn't help in the programming it helps in getting familiar with R. Thank you Renato -- PhD Student Renato