similar to: forecasting multiple regression model

v1.0 of the forecasting bundle of packages is now on CRAN and will propagate to mirrors shortly. The forecasting bundle of R packages provides new forecasting methods, and graphical tools for displaying and analysing forecasts. It comprises the following packages: * forecast: Functions and methods for forecasting. * fma: All data sets from Makridakis, Wheelwright and Hyndman

v1.0 of the forecasting bundle of packages is now on CRAN and will propagate to mirrors shortly. The forecasting bundle of R packages provides new forecasting methods, and graphical tools for displaying and analysing forecasts. It comprises the following packages: * forecast: Functions and methods for forecasting. * fma: All data sets from Makridakis, Wheelwright and Hyndman

1. This is an imaginary data on monthly outcomes of 2 years and I want to forecast the outcome for next 12 months of next year. data Data1; input Yr Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec; datalines; 2008 12 13 12 14 13 12 11 15 10 12 12 12 2009 12 13 12 14 13 12 11 15 10 12 12 12 ; run; I converted the above data into the below format to use it in R as it was giving error: asking

R gurus, I've exhausted my search of online help. This is my last resort. We're running R-2.1.1. I've been told by one of the R users here that we cannot upgrade to the lastest version because of some python rpy wrapper dependency that hasn't caught up to the latest version of R. The software is running on Solaris 10 x86. Gcc version is 3.4.1. R is installed in

Dear all, I am pleased to announce the CRAN release of a new package called 'KFAS' - Kalman filter and smoother. The package KFAS contains functions of multivariate Kalman filter, smoother, simulation smoother and forecasting. It uses univariate approach algorithm (aka sequential processing), which is faster than normal method, and it also allows mean square prediction error matrix Ft to

Dear all, I am pleased to announce the CRAN release of a new package called 'KFAS' - Kalman filter and smoother. The package KFAS contains functions of multivariate Kalman filter, smoother, simulation smoother and forecasting. It uses univariate approach algorithm (aka sequential processing), which is faster than normal method, and it also allows mean square prediction error matrix Ft to

I have a semantics question, I am reading Bowerman and O'Connell and they state that forecasting models fall into two categories, univariate and causal. My question is whether a time series regression model that relates the time series of interest to functions of time such as the day of the week or month of the year could be considered a causal model? thanks, spencer [[alternative HTML

Hello, does anyone know of any R routines capable of whats called Hierarchical Forecasting, reconciling the different hierarchies. Example: A top down forecast where the corporate forecast is created and then all the regions within the corporate entity are also forecasted, with the constraint they sum to the corporate forecast.

Couldn't find this in the archives. I'm fitting a series of historical weather-related data, but would like to use the latest values to forecast. So let's say that I'm using 1970-2000 to fit a model (using fourier terms and arima/auto.arima), but now would like to use the last X values to predict tomorrow's weather. I'm at a loss. All the functions I've come across

Hello, In order to do a future forecast based on my past Time Series data sets (salespricesproduct1, salespricesproduct2, etc..), I used arima() functions with different parameter combinations which give the smallest AIC. I also used auto.arima() which finds the parameters with the smallest AICs. But unfortuanetly I could not get satisfactory forecast() results, even sometimes catastrophic

Hello everybody! I'm having this problem with the auto.arima function that i've not been able to solve. I use this function on time series that contains NA values, but every time that the resulting model contains drift I can't perform a forecasting (using forecast.Arima function). The printed error (when I try to forecast the resulting model) claims a dimension mismatch

Hello all First of all I must emphasize that I am fascinated about Forecast package. However I have difficulty to execute 'ets' procedure. After I write code: a<-read.table("test.txt", sep="\t", head=T) b<-matrix(a[,3], nrow=5, ncol=12, dimnames=list(c("2005","2006","2007","2008","2009"),

I'm currently working with some time series data with the xts package, and would like to generate a forecast 12 periods into the future. There are limited observations, so I am unable to use an ARIMA model for the forecast. Here's the regression setup, after converting everything from zoo objects to vectors. hire.total.lag1 <- lag(hire.total, lag=-1, na.pad=TRUE) lm.model <-

Hi Frances, I have not touched the system.fit package for quite some time, but to solve your problem the following two pointers might be helpful: 1) Recast your model in the revised form, i.e., include your identity directly into your reaction functions, if possible. 2) For solving your model, you can employ the Gau?-Seidel method (see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gauss%E2%80%93Seidel_method).

Hello R group, I'm using the tseries package to forecast variance and I would like to do the same with correlation. I can't find any way to do that with the function garch(). for example, I have a matrix of time series Date CACIndex SPXIndex DAXIndex NKYIndex 1 05/01/1998 3072.84 977.07 4384.81 14896.1 2 06/01/1998 3037.73 966.58 4352.63 14896.40 3

Who was speaking about non-linear models in the first place??? The Klein-Model(s) and pretty much all simultaneous equation models encountered in macro-econometrics are linear and/or can contain linear approximations to non-linear relationships, e.g., production functions of the Cobb-Douglas type. Best, Bernhard -----Urspr?ngliche Nachricht----- Von: Berend Hasselman [mailto:bhh at xs4all.nl]

Hi all, First: I have a small line of code I'm applying to a variable which will be placed in a matrix table for latex output of accuracy measures: acc.aarima <- signif(accuracy(forecast(auto.arima(tix_ts, stepwise=FALSE), h=365)), digits=3). The time series referred to is univariate (daily counts from 12-10-2010 until 5-8-2010 (so not 2 full periods of data)), and I'm working on

Hello, I would like to write a program that compute the principal components of a set of data and then 1. Run the dependent variable against the principal components (lagged value) 2. Do prediction , following Stock and Watson (1999) "Forecasting Inflation". All data are time series. Now I can run the program using single factor (first principal component), but I

> On 13 Jul 2017, at 12:55, Pfaff, Bernhard Dr. <Bernhard_Pfaff at fra.invesco.com> wrote: > > Who was speaking about non-linear models in the first place??? > The Klein-Model(s) and pretty much all simultaneous equation models encountered in macro-econometrics are linear That's really not true. Klein model is linear but Oseibonsu did not say that explicitly. "Klein

Hi, i have a weekly data for servers for 62 weeks. want to predict the cpu% for next 5 weeks.I am trying to forecast for many servers at once but with the code i am getting only one week of future forecast for all the servers. Also the week date for the predicted week is showing as the last week of the original data . Need help in two things How can i change the date for the predicted week, and