similar to: Problem with the command "StrucTS" that fits a basic structural model for time series

Dear All, I am trying to fit a structural time series model using the StructTS function (package stats) with only 2 seasons (summer and winter). More than 2 seasons work fine but with 2 seasons I get this error: > fit <- StructTS(y.ts, type="BSM") Error in T[cbind(ind + 1L, ind)] <- 1 : subscript out of bounds I have looked at Prof. Ripley's 2002 RNews article but cannot

Hello, I just ran the predict.StructTS function using the AirPassengers data and got a ridiculous result. Here's what I ended up with: http://24.210.155.111/PredictWhat!.pdf Who wrote this? Am I seriously supposed to think this function would accurately predict a time series? -AnalogKid

I've just built R 2.9.2 from source on Slackware Linux 13.0 - 32-bit (will try 64-bit also next) - and seen: > Collecting examples for package 'stats' > Running examples in package 'stats' > Error: testing 'stats' failed > Execution halted > make[3]: *** [test-Examples-Base] Error 1 Looking at R-2.9.2/tests/Examples/stats-Ex.Rout.fail I see: ... >

Dear R-bugs I have been studying the StructTS function (in package 'stats') and functions supplied with it. I think I have found a few minor bugs in the documentation. I am referring to the version of StructTS supplied with the release R 2.0.0. Output from 'version' platform i386-pc-mingw32 arch i386 os mingw32 system i386, mingw32 status

Dear All I would like to use the StructTS function in the ts library to fit the ' BSM ' model. I have some, probably basics, questions about the model and about the function(s): 1) How can I check the statistical significance of the estimated parameters(variances)? 2) Is there some way to find what component "dominate" the series? 3) Is there a function to produce

Hi, I used function StructTS some time ago to fit a structural model to a time series. Now with R 1.6.2-1 I repeated the analysis with the same series and I get the following error: Error in KalmanLike2(y, Z, -1) : invalid argument type I tried with other series and I get the same error; I checked the examples in the documentation and they work fine. I suspect I am missing something

Dear All I would like to use the StructTS function in the ts library to fit the ' BSM ' model. I have some, probably basics, questions about the model and about the function(s): 1) How can I check the statistical significance of the estimated parameters(variances)? 2) Is there some way to find what component "dominate" the series? 3) Is there a function to produce

>From: "Ivaha C (AT)" <civaha at glam.ac.uk> >Date: 2008/04/10 Thu AM 08:51:14 CDT >To: R Help <r-help at r-project.org> >Subject: [R] Structural Modelling in R-project if you have a univariate time series and you want to break it into its various components, then you get the scalars based on a decomposition. if you have a kalman filter/ basic strucutural

I apologize in advance if I picked the wrong list to post this to. I have made an effort to find the answers to these questions on CRAN, but if they are there, I couldn't find them, and I was going to email the developer of StructTS directly but could not find who that is. I have 2 interrelated questions about StructTS 1. Where can I obtain the source code for StructTS if I wanted to

Dear all: I want to modify the 'StructTS' function from the 'stats' package. First, I am writing a working copy of the original version and got some problems. I have two versions of the function plus the original one. The first version is the same code as the 'StructTS' function: StructTS.v1 <- function (x, type = c("level", "trend",

Hi all, I've experienced this problem using StructTS(x) when the *first* element of x is a NA (R:R1.7.0, os: w2ksp4). Please look at the following code: a=rep(1:7,10) library(ts) #this works StructTS(a) #this works x=a x[2]=NA StructTS(x) #this doesn't work x=a x[1]=NA StructTS(x) The last command returns this error "Error in optim(init[mask], getLike,

i have a matrice M and i want to extract only rows where GWP_Max is positif and smaller than 1000 but it is given me this:!!!??? > M    Policy.Number   GWP_Max 1        4001023       500 2        4001025       700 3        4001028       600 4        4001062    2335.1 5        6100001      2000 6     1060000006      1400 7     1060000009     77.19 8     1060000071  18898.88 9     1060000073

Dear all, I'd like to discuss about a possible bug in function StructTS of stats package. It seems that the function returns wrong value of the log-likelihood, as the added constant to the relevant part of the log-likelihood is misspecified. Here is an simple example: > data(Nile) > fit <- StructTS(Nile, type = "level") > fit$loglik [1] -367.5194 When computing the

In the examples for StructTS -- ($RHOME)/library/stats/man/StructTS.Rd -- could par(mfrow = c(4, 1)) plot(log10(UKgas)) plot(cbind(fitted(fit), resids=resid(fit)), main = "UK gas consumption") become plot(log10(UKgas)) par(mfrow = c(4, 1)) plot(cbind(fitted(fit), resids=resid(fit)), main = "UK gas consumption") ## Note that par was moved down This makes the plot of UKgas

Dear all, I am applying the StructTS function in ts-package. For some time series the program terminates and the following error appears: Error in optim(init[mask], getLike, method = "L-BFGS-B", lower = rep(0, : L-BFGS-B needs finite values of fn Do someone know what do I have to adjust in the original time series to avoid this error? It works fine for some subsets of the

I have seen a couple of posts about this, but no solutions. The problem is fitting the Basic Structural Model (BSM) to the AirPassengers time series using StructTS. ?For this particular time series, if the length is reduced below 140 months, the BSM fits are bad.? The following illustrates the problem ap0 <- log10(AirPassengers) - 2ap<-ts(ap0[1:139], freq=12) ?# bad fits for length <

Dear R, Thanks for helping me locate the source for the StructTS method from stats, but I've run in to a roadblock in reverse engineering it to locate a formula for its forecasting because it calls some compiled C code, a function called KalmanLike. I've looked through that R library that the StructTS method code was located in and could not find it. Sincerely,

Hello, Does anybody know if (and how) it is possible to obtain standard errors of estimated variances from StructTS? (R 2.10.0). Thank you in advance, Giovanni

I am having problems with forward prediction using the output of the Basic Structural Model from StructTS. The following snippet illustrates the problem: t_end <- 139 nahead <- 20 data(AirPassengers) ap <- log10(AirPassengers)-2 fit <- StructTS(ts(ap[1:t_end], freq=12), type="BSM") p <- stats:::predict.StructTS(fit, n.ahead=nahead) plot(1:t_end, ap[1:t_end],

To whomever it may concern, I'm a young Industrial Engineer working on Senior Design at Georgia Tech and have found the StructTS method to be excellent for the training set for my forecasting project. There's only one problem: I don't actually understand what a Structural Time Series IS. I've looked up resources on it, and get that essentially you're dividing the Time