similar to: Regression on two time series

Hello, I am very new to R and Time Series. I need some help including R codes about the following issues. I' ll really appreciate any number of answers... # I have a time series data composed of 24 values: myinput = c(n1,n2...,n24); # In order to make a forecasting a, I use the following codes result1 = arima(ts(myinput),order = c(p,d,q),seasonal = list(order=c(P,D,Q))) result2 =

Hello to everyone! I am working on my final year project about multivariate time series. There are three variables in the multivariate time series model. I have a few questions: 1. I used acf and pacf plot and find my variables are nonstationary. But in adf.test() and pp.test(), the data are stationary. why? 2.I use VAR to get a model. y is the matrix of data set and I have made a once

Dear All, I am looking for a cointegration relationship between Spot and Future Price of commodites. The problem i am facing follows: 1. After estimating by Engle-Grranger Method, i found that the residuals are stationary at their level I (o), which is required to fulfill the cointegration test. But the autocorrelation problem arises, as DW statistics is signficantly low 0.50-0.88 for various

Hi all, Can anyone clear my doubts about what conclusions to take with the following what puts of some time series tests: > adf.test(melbmax) Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test data: melbmax Dickey-Fuller = -5.4075, Lag order = 15, p-value = 0.01 alternative hypothesis: stationary Warning message: p-value smaller than printed p-value in: adf.test(melbmax)

This is not exactly an R question but the R code below may make my question more understandable. If one plots sin(x) where x runs from -pi to pi , then the curve hovers around zero obviously. so , in a"stationary in the mean" sense, the series is stationary. But, clearly if one plots the acf, the autocorrelations at lower lags are quite high and, in the "box jenkins"

Hi all, Can I run a cointegrating regression, for example delta Xt=a1(Yt-1-cXt-1)+E1t and delta Yt=-b1(Yt-1-cXt-1)+E2t with R were Xt and Yt are non stationary time series at t a,b,c are parameters and E1t and E2t are error terms at t. Yt-Xt is stationary Any suggestions are welcome. Best regards, /fb -.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.- r-help mailing

Hi all, I was running the adf test in R. CODE 1: adf.test(data$LOSS) Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test data: data$LOSS Dickey-Fuller = -1.9864, Lag order = 2, p-value = 0.5775 alternative hypothesis: stationary CODE 2: adf.test(diff(diff(data$LOSS))) Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test data: diff(diff(data$LOSS)) Dickey-Fuller = -6.9287, Lag order = 2, p-value = 0.01 alternative

Dear all, In many papers regarding time series analysis of acquired data, the authors analyze 'marginal distribution' (i.e. marginal with respect to time) of their data by for example checking 'cdf heavy tail' hypothesis. For i.i.d data this is ok, but what if samples are correlated, nonstationary etc.? Are there limit theorems which for example allow us to claim that

Hello everybody, I recently wrote a "program" that to generate AR1 time series, here the code: #By Jomopo. Junio-2007, Leioa, Vizcaya #This program to create the AR1 syntetic series (one by one) #Where the mean is zero, but the variance of the serie AR1 and #the coef. of AR1 are be changed. If var serie AR1 = 1 then is standarized! #Final version for AR1 time series program #Mon Jul

Hi all, I am looking for low cost online education in statistics. I am thinking of taking online classes on time series analysis and cointegration, etc. Of course, if there are free video lectures, that would be great. However I couldn't find any free video lectures at upper-undergraduate and graduate level which formally going through the whole timeseries education... That's why I would

Dear useRs, I want to simulate a time series (stationary; the distribution of values is skewed to the right; quite a few ARMA absolute standardized residuals above 2 - about 8% of them). Is this the right way to do it? #-------------------------------- load("rdtb") #the time series > summary(rdtb) Min. 1st Qu. Median Mean 3rd Qu. Max. -1.11800 -0.65010 -0.09091

Hello all, I looking at package dse or vars or mAr I know how to simulate a VAR(p) process, my problem is that most of those processes are unstable (not weakly stationary). Do anybody know how to generate a random VAR (or VARMA even better) process that is weakly stationary? Thanks -- View this message in context: http://r.789695.n4.nabble.com/simulating-stable-VAR-process-tp4261177p4261177.html

Hello, here is another question, how do I generate random walk models in R? Basically, I need an AR(1) model with the phi^1 value equal to 1: Yt = c + Yt-1 + E where E is random white noise. I tried using the arima.sim command: arima.sim(list(ar=c(1)), n = 1000, rand.gen = rnorm) but got this error since the model I am generating is not stationary: Error in arima.sim(list(ar = c(1)), n =

Hi, Am I interpreting the results properly? Are my conclusions correct? > KPSS.test(df) ---- ---- KPSS test ---- ---- Null hypotheses: Level stationarity and stationarity around a linear trend. Alternative hypothesis: Unit root. ---- Statistic for the null hypothesis of level stationarity: 1.089 Critical values: 0.10 0.05 0.025 0.01 0.347 0.463

Short question: Is it possible to use statistical tests, like the Augmented Dickey-Fuller test, in functions with for-loops? If not, are there any alternative ways to scale measures? Detailed explanation: I am working with time-series, and I want to flag curves that are not stationary and which display pulses, trends, or level shifts. >df DATE ID VALUE2012-03-06 1

Does anyone know how p-values can be generated if tsboot (stationary bootstrap) for time series is performed? That would be of great help. Thanks a lot for your comments. Markus [[alternative HTML version deleted]]

Hey, we are currently analyzing the liquidty in the Danish mortgage bond market. For this project we have several irregular time series variables as Bond prices, interest rates etc. We declared all the variables as irregular time series, and created the first differences of them to make them stationary. Now we are trying to run a linear regression on the price of the bon including dummy

Hi there, Does anyone know if R has a function for testing whether a time series is stationary?? Thanks in advance, Wayne Dr Wayne R. Jones Statistician / Research Analyst KSS Group plc St James's Buildings 79 Oxford Street Manchester M1 6SS Tel: +44(0)161 609 4084 Mob: +44(0)7810 523 713 KSS Ltd A division of Knowledge Support Systems Group plc Seventh Floor St James's

Hi all, Hope you people do not feel irritated for repeatedly sending mail on Time series. Here I got another problem on the same, and hope I would get some answer from you. I have following dataset: data[,1] [1] 4.96 4.95 4.96 4.96 4.97 4.97 4.97 4.97 4.97 4.98 4.98 4.98 4.98 4.98 4.99 4.99 5.00 5.01 [19] 5.01 5.00 5.01 5.01 5.01 5.01 5.02 5.01 5.02 5.02 5.03 5.03 5.03

Hi, I am so novice in using R. I have some problems in my R script below which fits time series data and predict it one-step ahead. Here is a brief explanation on what I try to achieve Th16k is time series data (500 data points). The size of window for fitting and predicting is 50 (data points). As you can easily discover from my code, (fixed) window is moving/sliding to get next one-step