similar to: how to forecast the GARCH volatility?

I am trying to forecast volatility 2 periods forward using a ARCH(1) model: predict(garch(fit2,order=c(0,1),n.ahead=2)) ***** ESTIMATION WITH ANALYTICAL GRADIENT ***** Error in qr(com.hess$hess, ...) : unused argument(s) (n.ahead ...) What did I do wrong? Thank you. Best regards, Peter Arnold, CFA President PRA Investment Counsel, Inc. 704-341-8193 www.prainvestment.com

Dear everyone, i`m a german economics student, writing my master´s thesis about "Multivariate Volatility Models". After having read about theoretical aspects of Multivariate GARCH ans Stochastic Volatility Models, I would like to compare DCC-GARCH and DC-SV with help of an empirical application. I figuered out that one has to use MCMC-simulation-methods for that. Some days ago I

Hello, I would like to study time series with ARIMA and GARCH models. I installed R-Plus and its libraries but when I try to execute the function arima0, It answers that the function does not exist. Could you help me or give me references of papers dealing with arima and garch in R-Plus? Thanks Beno?t, ___________________________________ Mr. Beno?t LACHERON Rue de l'industrie, 44, 1040

Hi all, We followed some books and sample codes and did some EMM estimation, only to find it won't be able to generate forecast. This is because in the stochastic volatility models we are estimating, the volatilities are latent variables, and we want to forecast 1-step ahead or h-step ahead volatilities. So it is nice to have the system estimated, but we couldn't get it to forecast at

Dear R users, I am trying to use tseries' garch function in order to determine the volatility of a return series generated by quantmod. Here is the code that I am using: > library(quantmod) > getSymbols("AAPL") convert daily closing prices into continuous log returns > dret<-dailyReturn(AAPL,type='log') check to see that the autocorrelations decay >

Hi All, How can extract AIC,BIC from a fitted Garch model? -- SUMANTA BASAK. [[alternative HTML version deleted]]

Hi, I've fitted a GARCH(1,1) for the residuals of my time serie (X). X is an ARMA(1,1) process. Now I want to do a n-step forecast for X, knowing these processes. How can I do this? I know that there's a command: predict() for ARIMA processes and so on, but what about GARCH? I've got: arma=arima(x, order=c(1,0,1)) (...) garch11<-garch(residuals(x),order = c(1, 1))

Hi, Although my doubt is pretty,as i m not from stats background i am not sure how to proceed on this. Currently i am doing a forecasting.I used ARIMA to forecast and time series was volatile i used garchFit for residuals. How to use the output of Garch to correct the forecasted values from ARIMA. Here is my code: ###delta is the data fit<-arima(delta,order=c(2,,0,1)) fit.res <-

Hi, i am working in the forecast of the daily price crude . The last prices of this data are the following: 100.60 101.47 100.20 100.06 98.68 101.28 101.05 102.13 101.70 98.27 101.00 100.50 100.03 102.23 102.68 103.32 102.67 102.23 102.14 101.25 101.11 99.90 98.53 96.76 96.12 96.54 96.30 95.92 95.92 93.45 93.71 96.42 93.99 93.76 95.24 95.63 95.95 95.83 95.65

Dear R People: Is there a way to forecast with GARCH modeling as found in tseries, please? When I use the predict command, I get an output of length 100, regardless of what I put in the n.ahead steps. R Version 1.9.0 Thanks in advance. Sincerely, Laura mailto: lauraholt_983 at hotmail.com download! http://toolbar.msn.click-url.com/go/onm00200413ave/direct/01/

Hello R group, I'm using the tseries package to forecast variance and I would like to do the same with correlation. I can't find any way to do that with the function garch(). for example, I have a matrix of time series Date CACIndex SPXIndex DAXIndex NKYIndex 1 05/01/1998 3072.84 977.07 4384.81 14896.1 2 06/01/1998 3037.73 966.58 4352.63 14896.40 3

Hi, I am completely new to GARCH models and trying to fit a multivariate time series model using DCC GARCH model and forecast it. The data looks like this: > head(datax) x vibration_x Speed 1 2017-05-16 17:53:00 -0.132 421.4189 2 2017-05-16 17:54:00 -0.296 1296.8882 3 2017-05-16 17:55:00 -0.572 0.0000 4 2017-05-16 17:56:00 -0.736 1254.2695 5

Dear all R user, Please forgive me if my problem is too simple. Actually my problem is basically Statistical rather directly R related. Suppose I have return series ret with mean zero. And I want to fit a Garch(1,1) on this. my is r[t] = h[i]*z[t] h[t] = w + alpha*r[t-1]^2 + beta*h[t-1] I want to estimate the three parameters here; the R syntax is as follows: #

Hello, My problem is, that I have to build hundreds of GARCH models to obtain volatility forecasts. I would like to run a loop, that would build those forecasts for me. There is no problem, with writing only the results of the forecasts, but I'd like to have stored results of the models in some file, that I could check later, what are the models like, to be able to compare if I should use

I'm using R 2.1.1 and just successfully installed packages tseries, fseries. I try to run example http://www.maths.lth.se/help/R/.R/library/tseries/html/garch.html But it shows > x.arch <- garch(x, order = c(0,2)) # Fit ARCH(2) Error: couldn't find function "garch" Then I run command > help.search("garch") it shows the R information.

Hi, I am trying to fit a GARCH(1,1) model to a financial timeseries using the 'garch' function in the tseries package. However the parameter estimates obtained sometimes match with those obtained using SAS or S-Plus (Finmetrics) and sometimes show a completely different result. I understand that this could be due to the way optimization of MLEs are done, however, I would appreciate any

I'm having no luck getting GARCH parameter estimations. It seems simple enough, but I don't know what I'm doing. I'm a newbie both at R and GARCH models, so whatever is going wrong, it's probably very basic. Here's what I do: 1. I first load the tseries package with: library("tseries") 2. I then load the data with: g <-

Hello all, I would like how to modelized a time serie with AR-ARCH process. It can be used arma and garch functions in tseries package for build ar process or a garch process, but how can it be modelized a ar-garch model ? Thanks [[alternative HTML version deleted]]

I need to change the code of Garch to the FCGARCH (a non-linear multi-regime GARCH). I don't know nothing about R. I'd like to know how can I get the code of the garch in order to change it and make the fit for the FC-GARCH. Any non-linear code will be helpfull because if doesn't help in the programming it helps in getting familiar with R. Thank you Renato -- PhD Student Renato

Hello, I have a rather complex problem... I will have to explain everything in detail because I cannot solve it by myself...i just ran out of ideas. So here is what I want to do: I take quotes of two indices - S&P500 and DJ. And my first aim is to estimate coefficients of the DCC-GARCH model for them. This is how I do it: library(tseries) p1 = get.hist.quote(instrument =