similar to: Interpolating / smoothing missing time series data

Thanks for everyone's help with zoo -- I think I've got my data set ready. (The data consists of surface weather temperatures, from 2002 to 2005, one observation per hour. Some values are missing... i.e. NA) I have three goals: GOAL #1:Get the data in proper time series form, preserving frequency information: > w4.ts <- as.ts( w3.zoo, frequency=(1/3600) ) I hope that 1/3600

Hi all, Forecasting from an arima model is easy with predict. But I can't manage to backcast : invent data from the model before the begining of the sample. The theory is easy : take your parameters, reverse your data, forecast, and then reverse the forecast I've tried to adapt the predict function to do that (i'm not sure that the statistical procedure is fine (with the residuals),

When I do ARMA(2,2) using one lag of LCPIH data This is eview result > > *Dependent Variable: DLCPIH > **Method: Least Squares > **Date: 08/12/11 Time: 12:44 > **Sample (adjusted): 1970Q2 2010Q2 > **Included observations: 161 after adjustments > **Convergence achieved after 14 iterations > **MA Backcast: 1969Q4 1970Q1 > ** > **Variable Coefficient Std.

Hello, I am very new to R and Time Series. I need some help including R codes about the following issues. I' ll really appreciate any number of answers... # I have a time series data composed of 24 values: myinput = c(n1,n2...,n24); # In order to make a forecasting a, I use the following codes result1 = arima(ts(myinput),order = c(p,d,q),seasonal = list(order=c(P,D,Q))) result2 =

> It might clarify your thinking to note that a seasonal ARIMA model > is just an ``ordinary'' ARIMA model with some coefficients > constrained to be 0 in an efficient way. E.g. a seasonal AR(1) s = > 4 model is the same as an ordinary (nonseasonal) AR(4) model with > coefficients theta_1, theta_2, and theta_3 constrained to be 0. You > can get the same answer as from

Hi, I have the following code from Splus that I'd like to migrate to R. So far, the only problem is the arima.filt function. This function allows me to filter an existing time-series through a previously estimated arima model, and obtain the residuals for further use. Here's the Splus code: # x is the estimation time series, new.infl is a timeseries that contains new information # a.mle

Hello everyone, I was trying to fit an arima model to a daily historical data, but, for some reason, havent been able to. I basically have 212 observations (from 12/1/2012 to 06/30/2013) containing the number of transits for a particular vessel. The following messages are produced by R: dailytrans.fit<-arima(dailytrans$transits, order=c(0,1,2), seasonal=list(order=c(0,1,2), period=365),

Hello, I have a several time series, which I would like to check for their best fitted Arima model (I am checking for the lowest aic value). Which lets me raise two questions: 1) is there are more efficient way, than using 6 for-loops? 2) sometimes the system cannot calculate with given parameters - is there a more efficient solution than I found? I hope, you can help me to make this

Hi, I'm trying to model an ARMA(1,[1,4]), i.e. I want only lags 1 and 4 of the Moving Average part. It's the '[1,4]' part that is giving me a problem. I've tried different arma's and arima's in different packages, namely: packages tseries, fArma, FinTS, timeSeries, TSA, Zelig, ds1, forecast For example, with package FinTS: > ( ARIMA(y, order=c(1,0,c(1,4))) )

Hello R People: When using the arima function with the seasonal option, are the seasonal options only good for monthly and quarterly data, please? Also, I believe that weekly and daily data are not appropriate for seasonal parm estimation via arima. Is that correct, please? Thanks, Sincerely, Laura Holt mailto: lauraholt_983 at hotmail.com download!

I'm trying to use the following command. arima (x, order = c(p,d,q), seasonal =list(order=c(P,D,Q), period=s) How can I write an estimated seasonal ARIMA model from the outputs. To be specifically, which sign to use? I know R uses a different signs from S plus. Is it correct that the model is: (1-ar1*B-ar2*B^2-...)(1-sar1*B^s-sar2*B^2s-....)(1-B)^d(1-B^s)^D

Hello, does anyone know about: a) simulating seasonal ARIMA models? arima out of package ts can fit it, but it does not look like it can simulates data from seasonal models b) fitting and simulating fractional seasonal ARIMA models? Hints will be appreciated, Henning -- Henning Rust Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research Dept. Integrated Systems Analysis Tel.: #49/331/288-2596

I am puzzled by the warning message in the output below. It appears whether or not I fit the seasonal term (but the precise point of doing this was to fit what is effectively a second seasonal term). Is there some deep reason why AR parameters ("Warning message: some AR parameters were fixed: ...") should somehow intrude into the fitting of a model that has only MA terms? >

Hi, I am so novice in using R. I have some problems in my R script below which fits time series data and predict it one-step ahead. Here is a brief explanation on what I try to achieve Th16k is time series data (500 data points). The size of window for fitting and predicting is 50 (data points). As you can easily discover from my code, (fixed) window is moving/sliding to get next one-step

Hi R experts, I am trying to remove autocorrelation from Simple Moving Average time series. I know that this can be done by using seasonal ARIMA like, library(TTR) data <- rnorm(252) n=21 sma_data=SMA(data,n) sma_data=sma_data[-1:-n] acf(sma_data,length(sma_data))

Colleagues I am a new to R but already love it. I have the following problem: I fitted arima model to my time series like this (please ignore modeling parameters as they are not important now): x = scan("C:/data.txt") x = ts(x, start=1, frequency=1) x.fit<-arima(x, order = c(1,0,0), seasonal = list(order=c(0,0,1))) Now I want to use this model for forecasting and backtesting (!).

Hi people, I´m trying to development a simple routine to run many Arima models result from some parâmeters combination. My data test have one year and daily level. A part of routine is: for ( d in 0:1 ) { for ( p in 0:3 ) { for ( q in 0:3 ) { for ( sd in 0:1 ) { for ( sp in 0:3 ) { for ( sq in 0:3 ) {

Hello all, I have been using R's time series capabilities to perform analysis for quite some time now and I am having some questions regarding its reliability. In several cases I have had substantial disagreement between R and other packages (such as gretl and the commercial EViews package). I have just encountered another problem and thought I'd post it to the list. In this case,

i am using sarima() function as below ___________________________________________________________________________________________ sarima=function(data,p,d,q,P=0,D=0,Q=0,S=-1,tol=.001){ n=length(data) constant=1:n xmean=matrix(1,n,1) if (d>0 & D>0) fitit=arima(data, order=c(p,d,q), seasonal=list(order=c(P,D,Q), period=S),

Hello , I have estimated the following model, a sarima: p=9 d=1 q=2 P=0 D=1 Q=1 S=12 In R 2.12.2 Call: arima(x = xdata, order = c(p, d, q), seasonal = list(order = c(P, D, Q), period = S), optim.control = list(reltol = tol)) Coefficients: ar1 ar2 ar3 ar4 ar5 ar6 ar7 ar8 ar9 0.3152 0.8762 -0.4413 0.0152 0.1500 0.0001 -0.0413 -0.1811