similar to: output processing / ARMA order identification

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Hello R-Users Is there a package in R, that handles Markov (Regime) Switching (ARMA) Models for time series modelling and prediction? Thank you very much. Regards, Andreas.

R-guRus , ARMA function in tseries, seems to be calculating the AR coeff 's as coef <- lm(xx[,1]~xx[,lag$ar+1])$coef [*snipped* from around line 77,] I'd like to modify this model with another term somewhat in these lines lm(xx[,1] ~xx[,lag$ar+1]+mvgsignal)$coef where mvgsignal is a moving average signal based on some indicators, the question is could i simply hack into

Hello, BODY { font-family:Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:12px; } Does any one know if there are any functions/packages available in R for robust fitting of ARMA time series models (e.g., similar to the function arima.rob() in S-PLUS)? Many thanks and kind regards, Isabella Isabella R. Ghement, Ph.D. Ghement Statistical Consulting Company 301-7031 Blundell Road,

Hello, Does anyone know about an R-package on multivariate ARMA-GARCH models? Or in Matlab? I would be very grateful if someone could help! Thanks a lot! [[alternative HTML version deleted]]

Hi, I have been fitting a series of data representing a week of Internet traffic (which is daily seasonal and have a general trend toward lower rate at the weekends). Before I do the ARMA fit (which takes care of seasonality with a lag equal to one day), do I have to make sure the data is stationary? From the results and visually, it seems that this was taken care of. But the residual

Hi, I need a function to convert an ARMA process to an "infinite" AR process. I know that in the Stats package exist one to convert an ARMA to MA, but i can't find one function to convert to AR. There exists one? THANKS

I have the following time series model for prediction purposes *Loss_t = b1* Loss_(t-1) + b2*GDP_t + b3*W_(t-1)* where W_t is the usual white noise variable. So this is similar to ARMA(1,1) except that it also contains an extra predictor, GDP at time t. I have only 20 observations on each variable except GDP for which I know till 100 values. And most importantly,I have also calculated

Hi, Let theta be the coefficient in AR(1) model, the components of the correlation structure is equal to 1 for times s = t, and theta^|t-s| for t > s. Could someone do me a favour to give some ideas on the correlation structure in AR(2) model and correlation structure of ARMA(p,q), as well? Thank you Fir [[alternative HTML version deleted]]

Hi, is there a way in the arma function to exclude coefficients for the estimation. For example I estimated an ARMA(2,2) model to data where only the coefficients of the second order have been significant. Therefore I would like to estimate the ARMA(2,2) model without the 1,1-coefficients. Thanks a lot! Regards, Ralf -- View this message in context:

Dear R experts, I am trying to estimate an ARMA 2,2 model with garch errors. I used the following code on R 2.9. #library library(fGarch) #data data1<-ts(read.table("C:/Users/falcon/Desktop/Time Series/exports/goods1.csv"), start=c(1992,1), frequency=12) head(data1) #garch garchFit(formula.mean= ~arma(2,2),formula.var=~garch(1,1), data=data1) but get this error: >

Hi all, I am fitting an ARMA(1,(1,4)) model. y(t) = a*y(t-1) + e(t) + b1*e(t-1) + b4*e(t-4) > arma1.14 <- arma(series, lag=list(ar=1, ma=c(1,4)), + include.intercept = F, qr.tol = 1e-07) works fine: Coefficient(s): ar1 ma1 ma4 0.872 -0.445 0.331 I want to forecast 50 periods. I could not find a 'predict' function for ARMA models. I

Hello I was looking for the source code for the new arima procedure the STARMA model (Space-Time ARMA) If somebody have the source code of this model please send me them I'm student and in my research for my master I'm appling the STARMA model for modelling the pollutant particules. It's very important Thank you. --------------------------------- [[alternative HTML

Hi, All: Is there a way to get random effects for ARMA parameters? Consider the following example from the 'corARMA' help page: fm1Ovar.lme <- lme(follicles ~ sin(2*pi*Time) + cos(2*pi*Time), data = Ovary, random = pdDiag(~sin(2*pi*Time))) fm5Ovar.lme <- update(fm1Ovar.lme, corr = corARMA(p = 1, q = 1)) fm5Ovar.lme Linear

Hi, I want to fit a regression model with one independent variable. The error part should be fitted an ARMA process. For example, y_t = a + b*x_t + e_t where e_t is modelled as an ARMA process. Please let me know how do I do this in R. What code should I use? TIA Aditya [[alternative HTML version deleted]]

Thomas, may I also suggest, from the Documentation>Contributed section of CRAN, "Econometrics in R" by Grant Farnsworth http://cran.at.r-project.org/doc/contrib/Farnsworth-EconometricsInR.pdf (see the chapter on Time series) and, in case you can read Italian, "Analisi delle serie storiche con R" by Vito Ricci http://cran.at.r-project.org/doc/contrib/Ricci-ts-italian.pdf

Hello, I am having some problems with fitting an ARMA model to my time series data (randomly generated numbers). The thing is I have tried many packages [tseries, fseries, FitARMA etc.] and all of them giving very different results. I would appreciate if someone could post here what the best package is for my purpose. Also, after having done the fitting, I would like to check for the model's

Dear all, I'm looking for how can I estimate a linear model with ar(ma) errors : y(t)=a*X(t)+e(t) with P(B)e(t)=Q(B)u(t) where u is a white noise and P, Q are some polynomes. Could you help me ? Gr?gory Benmenzer

Hi given an ARMA process and the AR and MA coefficients I need the residuals. arima() calculates the residuals together with the best AR and MA coefficients, but I need the coefficients to take known values. In S-PLUS there is a function arima.filt(). Is there something similar in R? Thanks for any help, Matthias Budinger

Hi dear sirs, I am wondering why the fit of the time serie x with an arima and the fit of diff(x) with an arma (same coeff p & d) differ one from another here are the output of R: %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% > modelarma<-arma(diff(x),c(7,5)) > modelarma Call: arma(x = diff(x), order = c(7, 5)) Coefficient(s): ar1 ar2 ar3 ar4 ar5 ar6 ar7 ma1 ma2 0.06078