similar to: optim error in arima

What is the difference between arima and arima0?

Hi all, I?m using the arima() function to study a time series but it gives me the following error: Error en optim(init[mask], armafn, method = "BFGS", hessian = TRUE, control = optim.control, : non-finite finite-difference value [3] I know that I can change the method of the arima() to "CSS" instead of "ML" but I'm specially interested in using

This is not exactly an R question but the R code below may make my question more understandable. If one plots sin(x) where x runs from -pi to pi , then the curve hovers around zero obviously. so , in a"stationary in the mean" sense, the series is stationary. But, clearly if one plots the acf, the autocorrelations at lower lags are quite high and, in the "box jenkins"

I don't think arima works exactly the way one would expect when there is differencing. What I think should happen is that by default the mean of the differenced series is estimated and if include.mean=F, then it is not. This is not what happens. Instead when there is differencing the include.mean argument is ignored. Now I guess, someone could argue that the mean of the original series

Full_Name: Allan McRae Version: 1.6.0 OS: Win 2000 P Submission from: (NULL) (129.215.190.229) When using predict.Arima in library ts(), it appears differencing is only accounted for in the first step of prediction and so any trend is not apparent in the predictions. The example shows the difference between the predictions of an arima(1,1,1) model and the backtransformed predictions of an

There is currently a bug in the arima function. Namely, for arima models with differencing or seasonal differencing, the innovation variance estimator uses the wrong denominator whenever xreg is non-null. This is the case, for example, when fitting an ARIMA(p,1,q) model with a drift term (common in financial applications). I reported the bug (and a fix) at

Hi, I have been using this website ( http://www.stat.pitt.edu/stoffer/tsa2/Rissues.htm http://www.stat.pitt.edu/stoffer/tsa2/Rissues.htm ) to help me to fit ARIMA models to my data. At the moment I have two possible methods to use. Method 1 If I use arima(ts.data, order=c(1,2,0), xreg=1:length(ts.data)) then the wrong value for the intercept/mean is given (checked on SPSS and Minitab) and

Hi people, I´m trying to development a simple routine to run many Arima models result from some parâmeters combination. My data test have one year and daily level. A part of routine is: for ( d in 0:1 ) { for ( p in 0:3 ) { for ( q in 0:3 ) { for ( sd in 0:1 ) { for ( sp in 0:3 ) { for ( sq in 0:3 ) {

On 21 May 2015, at 12:49 , Martin Maechler <maechler at lynne.stat.math.ethz.ch> wrote: >>>>>> peter dalgaard <pdalgd at gmail.com> >>>>>> on Thu, 21 May 2015 11:03:05 +0200 writes: > >> On 21 May 2015, at 10:35 , Martin Maechler <maechler at lynne.stat.math.ethz.ch> wrote: > >>>> >>>> I noticed that

Hi, Am I interpreting the results properly? Are my conclusions correct? > KPSS.test(df) ---- ---- KPSS test ---- ---- Null hypotheses: Level stationarity and stationarity around a linear trend. Alternative hypothesis: Unit root. ---- Statistic for the null hypothesis of level stationarity: 1.089 Critical values: 0.10 0.05 0.025 0.01 0.347 0.463

Dear members of the list, I'm a beginner in R and I'm having some trouble with: "Error in optim(init[mask], armafn, method = "BFGS", hessian = TRUE, control = optim.control, : non-finite finite-difference value [8]" when running "arima". I've seen that some people have come accross the same problem:

dhabby wrote: Last week I run in to a lot a problems triyng to fit an ARIMA model to a time series. The problem is that the internal process of the arima function call function "optim" to estimate the model parameters, so far so good... but my data presents a problem with the default method "BFGS" of the optim function, the output error looks like this:

Hi, How can I access the Values stored in kpssstat-class given by KPSS.test function and store it in a variable. For example: >x <- rnorm(1000) >test <- KPSS.test(ts(x)) >test ---- ---- KPSS test ---- ---- Null hypotheses: Level stationarity and stationarity around a linear trend. Alternative hypothesis: Unit root. ---- Statistic for the null

On 21 May 2015, at 10:35 , Martin Maechler <maechler at lynne.stat.math.ethz.ch> wrote: >> >> I noticed that the 3.2.1 release cycle is about to start. Is there any >> chance that this fix will make it into the next version of R? >> >> This bug is fairly serious: getting the wrong variance estimate leads to >> the wrong log-likelihood and the wrong

Hi all, Can anyone clear my doubts about what conclusions to take with the following what puts of some time series tests: > adf.test(melbmax) Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test data: melbmax Dickey-Fuller = -5.4075, Lag order = 15, p-value = 0.01 alternative hypothesis: stationary Warning message: p-value smaller than printed p-value in: adf.test(melbmax)

Hi All, First of all, could you tell me what the "KPSS Level" in the output of the test means? I have a series, x, of periodic data and tried kpss.test() on it to verify its stationarity. The tests gave me the p-value above 0.1. Since the null hypothesis N0 is that the series _is_ stationary, this means that I cannot reject N0. But the series does look periodic! So does all this

Full_Name: Gang Liang Version: 1.7.1 OS: Debian/Woody Submission from: (NULL) (192.6.19.190) > print(arima.sim(list(ar=.3,order=c(1,1,1)), 30)) [1] 0.00000000 0.10734243 0.02907301 -1.23441659 -0.98819317 -2.82731975 [7] -2.69052512 -4.22884756 -5.02820635 -5.41514613 -6.20486350 -7.01040649 [13] -6.78121289 -5.41111810 -4.96338053 -5.42395408 -6.22741444 -5.75228153 [19] -6.07346580

is that 'x' is level or trend stationary. I did this > s<-rnorm(1000) > kpss.test(s) KPSS Test for Level Stationarity data: s KPSS Level = 0.0429, Truncation lag parameter = 7, p-value = 0.1 Warning message: p-value greater than printed p-value in: kpss.test(s) My question is whether p=0.1 is a good number to reject N0? On the other hand, I have a

Hello, I am very new to R and Time Series. I need some help including R codes about the following issues. I' ll really appreciate any number of answers... # I have a time series data composed of 24 values: myinput = c(n1,n2...,n24); # In order to make a forecasting a, I use the following codes result1 = arima(ts(myinput),order = c(p,d,q),seasonal = list(order=c(P,D,Q))) result2 =

I noticed that the 3.2.1 release cycle is about to start. Is there any chance that this fix will make it into the next version of R? This bug is fairly serious: getting the wrong variance estimate leads to the wrong log-likelihood and the wrong AIC, BIC etc, which can and does lead to suboptimal model selection. If it's not fixed, this issue will affect every student taking our time series