Displaying 20 results from an estimated 2000 matches similar to: "Re: Seasonal ARMA model"
2004 Jul 01
2
[gently off topic] arima seasonal question
Hello R People:
When using the arima function with the seasonal option, are the seasonal
options only good for monthly and quarterly data, please?
Also, I believe that weekly and daily data are not appropriate for seasonal
parm estimation via arima.
Is that correct, please?
Thanks,
Sincerely,
Laura Holt
mailto: lauraholt_983 at hotmail.com
download!
2004 Jul 04
2
Random intercept model with time-dependent covariates, results different from SAS
Dear list-members
I am new to R and a statistics beginner. I really like the ease with which I can
extract and manipulate data in R, and would like to use it primarily. I've
been learning by checking analyses that have already been run in SAS.
In an experiment with Y being a response variable, and group a 2-level
between-subject factor, and time a 5-level within-subject factor. 2
2009 Oct 13
0
How to specify an ARMA(1, [1,4]) model? Solved
On Tue, Oct 13, 2009 at 5:06 PM, Rolf Turner <r.turner@auckland.ac.nz>wrote:
>
> Not clear to me what the OP really wants. Perhaps the seasonal
> model is what's required; perhaps an arima(1,0,4) model with
> theta_2 and theta_3 constrained to be 0. The latter can be
> achieved with
>
> arima(x,order=c(1,0,4),fixed=c(NA,NA,0,0,NA,NA))
>
> Or perhaps
2011 Sep 22
1
Error in as.vector(data) optim() / fkf()
Dear R users,
When running the program below I receive the following error message:
fit <- optim(parm, objective, yt = tyield, hessian = TRUE)
Error in as.vector(data) :
no method for coercing this S4 class to a vector
I can't figure out what the problem is exactly. I imagine that it has
something to do with "tyield" being a matrix. Any help on explaining what's
going on
2011 Nov 12
1
State space model
Hi,
I'm trying to estimate the parameters of a state space model of the
following form
measurement eq:
z_t = a + b*y_t + eps_t
transition eq
y_t+h = (I -exp(-hL))theta + exp(-hL)y_t+ eta_{t+h}.
The problem is that the distribution of the innovations of the transition
equation depend on the previous value of the state variable.
To be exact: y_t|y_{t-1} ~N(mu, Q_t) where Q is a diagonal
2003 Aug 15
2
Oja median
I discovered recently that the phrase "Oja median" produces no hits in
Jonathan Baron's very valuable R search engine. I found this surprising
since I've long regarded this idea as one of the more interesting notions
in the multivariate robustness literature. To begin to remedy this oversight
I wrote a bivariate version and then decided that writing a general p-variate
version
2009 Feb 03
3
Problem about SARMA model forcasting
Hello, Guys:
I'm from China, my English is poor and I'm new to R. The first message I sent to R help meets some problems, so I send again.
Hope that I can get useful suggestions from you warm-hearted guys.
Thanks.
I builded a multiplicative seasonal ARMA model to a series named "cDownRange".
And the order is (1,1)*(0,1)45
The regular AR=1; regular MA=1; seasonal AR=0; seasonal
2009 Oct 13
1
How to specify an ARMA(1, [1,4]) model?
Hi,
I'm trying to model an ARMA(1,[1,4]),
i.e. I want only lags 1 and 4 of the Moving Average part.
It's the '[1,4]' part that is giving me a problem.
I've tried different arma's and arima's in different packages, namely:
packages tseries, fArma, FinTS, timeSeries, TSA, Zelig, ds1, forecast
For example, with package FinTS:
> ( ARIMA(y, order=c(1,0,c(1,4))) )
2012 Mar 21
3
how calculate seasonal component & cyclic component of time series?
i am new to time series,whatever i know up till now,from that
i have uploaded time series file & what to build arma model,but for that i
want p & q values(orders)
tell me how to calculate best p & q values to find best AIC values for model
i am doing but giving error
>bhavar<-read.table(file.choose()) #taking time series file
> decompose(bhavar$V1)
Error in
2004 Feb 12
0
How to predict ARMA models?
Hi all,
I am fitting an ARMA(1,(1,4)) model.
y(t) = a*y(t-1) + e(t) + b1*e(t-1) + b4*e(t-4)
> arma1.14 <- arma(series, lag=list(ar=1, ma=c(1,4)),
+ include.intercept = F, qr.tol = 1e-07)
works fine:
Coefficient(s):
ar1 ma1 ma4
0.872 -0.445 0.331
I want to forecast 50 periods.
I could not find a 'predict' function for ARMA models.
I
2008 Dec 08
0
ARMA models
Dear ALL:
Could you please eamil me how to simulate Mixed Seasonal ARMA (p,q)x(P,Q)12 models [say ARMA(0,1)x(1,0)12 ]from R.
With many thanks.
Abou
==========================
AbouEl-Makarim Aboueissa, Ph.D.
Assistant Professor of Statistics
Department of Mathematics & Statistics
University of Southern Maine
96 Falmouth Street
P.O. Box 9300
Portland, ME 04104-9300
Tel: (207)
2005 Mar 25
0
questions on ARMA and KPSS
Hi,
I have been fitting a series of data representing
a week of Internet traffic (which is daily seasonal
and have a general trend toward lower rate at the
weekends).
Before I do the ARMA fit (which takes care of
seasonality with a lag equal to one day), do I
have to make sure the data is stationary? From the
results and visually, it seems that this was taken
care of. But the residual
2004 Jan 14
1
seasonal fractional ARIMA models
Hello,
does anyone know about:
a) simulating seasonal ARIMA models? arima out of package ts can fit it,
but it does not look like it can simulates data from seasonal models
b) fitting and simulating fractional seasonal ARIMA models?
Hints will be appreciated,
Henning
--
Henning Rust
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
Dept. Integrated Systems Analysis
Tel.: #49/331/288-2596
2009 Apr 02
1
[R} seasonal differencing
Hi all,
I was wondering how to construct a seasonal differenced time series
variable.
I used the following code to construct a 12 span seasonal difference
seasonal<-diff(V2, lag=12, differences=1)
is this correct?
thank you in advance
joe
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2017 Jun 20
1
How to write an estimated seasonal ARIMA model from R output?
I'm trying to use the following command.
arima (x, order = c(p,d,q), seasonal =list(order=c(P,D,Q), period=s)
How can I write an estimated seasonal ARIMA model from the outputs. To be specifically, which sign to use? I know R uses a different signs from S plus.
Is it correct that the model is:
(1-ar1*B-ar2*B^2-...)(1-sar1*B^s-sar2*B^2s-....)(1-B)^d(1-B^s)^D
2011 Dec 28
2
Census ARIMA x-12 seasonal adjustment in R?
Hello,
I am new to usin R - which is a great tool - and would like to know if R
has a seasonal adjustment program for time series and/if it incorporates
the Census Bureau's ARIMA x-12 seasonal adjustment program in any way?
Thanks so much!
Tony
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2007 Nov 06
1
seasonal time serie with missing values
Hello All,
I trying to find some way to fill in missing values in a seasonal time
series. All the function that I find until now, don't have any reference to
seasonal data and the output is very different of what I looking for.
I also searched the forum but this problem don't have many information or
people asking.
Could someone indicate some links or packages related to this question?
2012 Aug 01
4
how to calculate seasonal mean for temperatures
Hello everybody,
I need to calculate seasonal means with temperature data for my work.
I have 70 files coming from weather stations, which looks like this for
example:
startdate <- as.POSIXct("01/01/2006", format = "%d/%m/%Y")
enddate <- as.POSIXct("05/01/2006", format = "%d/%m/%Y")
date <- seq(from = startdate, to = enddate, by =
2011 Jul 04
1
forecast: bias in sampling from seasonal Arima model?
Dear all,
I stumbled upon what appears to be a troublesome issue when sampling from an
ARIMA model (from Rob Hyndman's excellent 'forecast' package) that contains
a seasonal AR component.
Here's how to reproduce the issue. (I'm using R 2.9.2 with forecast 2.19;
see sessionInfo() below).
First some data:
> x <- c(
0.132475, 0.143119, 0.108104, 0.247291, 0.029510,
2007 Feb 17
1
seasonal adjustment
Are any seasonal adjustment programs, like Tramo/Seats, Census X12 ARIMA or Berliner Verfahren implemented in R? I am doing a simulation study and I don't know how to adjust the series in R.
The possibility to access external the exe.files of the seasonal adjustment programs seems to be quite difficult.
Can anyone help me?
Thanks,
Ingo