similar to: adding trend to an arima model

Hi, Does anyone know of a method for writing text to the graphics window, where there is *no* plot? Basically, I have developed a 'significance test' and I would like the output on the graphics window to say something about the input parameters and the stats of the significance test. Any help would be appreciated. Cheers, Sam.

I am using arima to develop a time series regression model, I am using arima b/c I have autocorrelated errors. Several of my independent variables are categorical and I have coded them as factors . When I run ARIMA I don't get any warning or error message, but I do not seem to get estimates for all the levels of the factor. Can/how does ARIMA handle factors in xreg? here is some example

Hi, I am trying to understand exactly what xreg does in arima. The documentation for xreg says:"xreg Optionally, a vector or matrix of external regressors, which must have the same number of rows as x." What does this mean with regard to the action of xreg in arima? Apparently somehow xreg made the following two arima fit equivalent in R: arima(x, order=c(1,1,1), xreg=1:length(x)) is

Dear R-help-archive.. I am trying to figure out how to make arima prediction when I have a process involving multivariate time series input, and one output time series (output is to be predicted) .. (thus strictly speaking its an ARMAX process). I know that the arima function of R was not designed to handle multivariate analysis (there is dse but it doesnt handle arma multivariate analysis, only

As I am reading ?arima, only NA entries in the argument fixed= imports. The following seems to indicate otherwise: x <- arima.sim(model=list(ar=0.8), n=100) + (1:100)/50 > t <- 1:100 > mod1 <- lm(x ~ t) > > init1 <- c(0, coef(mod1)[2]) > fixed1 <- c(as.numeric(NA), 0) > > arima(x, order=c(1,0,0), xreg=t, include.mean=FALSE, init=init1, fixed=fixed1)

Hi, Is there a function in R that lets one represent an integer in binary format for a given number of bits? So an example would be.... > binary.function(num=5, num.of.bits=8) > "00000101" Or, is this something I have to write myself? Any help would be appreciated. Cheers, Sam.

Hello all, I''m having fun again with the arima function. This time I read in: http://www.stat.pitt.edu/stoffer/tsa2/R_time_series_quick_fix.htm <<It has recently been suggested (by a reliable source) that using xreg in arima() does NOT fit an ARMAX model [insert slap head icon here]. This will be investigated as soon as time permits.>> (by R.H. Shumway & D.S. Stoffer)

Hello I want to fit an AR model were two of the coefficients are fixed to zero (the second and third ar-coefficients). I used the "arima" function with the "fixed" argument but the ar3 coefficient is not set to zero: ============================================== > arima(Y, order=c(4,0,0), xreg=1:23, fixed=c(NA,0,0,NA,NA,NA)) Call: arima(x = Y, order = c(4, 0, 0), xreg =

Hello, I drew a plot of weight and height of people and fitted it with a polynominal regression x^2. (using curve()) Now I would like to draw the confidence interval line for the fitted curve. Please kindly advise the code for the purpose. Thank you. Elaine [[alternative HTML version deleted]]

Hello, Does anyone know how the parameter estimates are calculated for xreg variables when called as part of an arima() command, or know of any literature that provides this info? In particular, I was wondering if there is a quick way to compare different combinations of "xreg" variables in the arima() fit in the same way that you would in multiple regression (using AIC & R^2

Hello, Does anybody know if the function arima with an external regressor (xreg) applies the auto correlation on the dependant variable or on the residuals. In comparison with SAS (proc autoreg), it seems that the auto correlation applies on the residuals but i'd like to have the confirmation. I want to estimate: Y[t] = a[1]*X[t] + a[2] + E[t] with E[t]=b[1]*E[t-1] Should I use : arima(Y,

Hi R-users, I am using arima to fit a time series. Now I would like to include an intervention component "It (0 before intervention, 1 after)" using different types of impacts, that is, not only trying the simple abrupt permanent impact (yt = w It ) with the xreg option but also trying with a gradual permanent impact (yt= d * yt-1 + w * It ), following the filosophy of Box and Tiao

Hi, All, This is my program ts1.sim <- arima.sim(list(order = c(1,1,0), ar = c(0.7)), n = 200) ts2.sim <- arima.sim(list(order = c(1,1,0), ar = c(0.5)), n = 200) tdata<-ts(c(ts1.sim[-1],ts2.sim[-1])) tre<-c(rep(0,200),rep(1,200)) gender<-rbinom(400,1,.5) x<-matrix(0,2,400) x[1,]<-tre x[2,]<-gender fit <- arima(tdata, c(1, 1, 0), method = "CSS",xreg=t(x))

When I run predict.Arima in my code, I get warnings like: Warning message: In cbind(intercept = rep(1, n), xreg) : number of rows of result is not a multiple of vector length (arg 1) I think this is because I'm not running predict.Arima in the same environment that I did the fit, so the data object used in the fit is no longer present. Looking at the predict.Arima source,

Hi people, I´m trying to development a simple routine to run many Arima models result from some parâmeters combination. My data test have one year and daily level. A part of routine is: for ( d in 0:1 ) { for ( p in 0:3 ) { for ( q in 0:3 ) { for ( sd in 0:1 ) { for ( sp in 0:3 ) { for ( sq in 0:3 ) {

Hi, I am considering whether or not to buy an apple mac. I have noticed on one of the R FAQs for Mac OS X that you cannot install packages from other OS's if C++ code is contained. My question is: Is it possible to build the package sources containing C++ code on the Mac and then install them? Thanks in advance, Sam.

Hi, I am trying to run a very computationally expensive procedure in R-2.0.0. and the process always gets killed after approx 8 minutes. This procedure calls some of my own C++ code - in case it was this code causing a memory leak I unload and then reload the .so file every time, however I still get the same problem. The procedure is run 16000 times and always calls the lm() function. My

Dear R Developers: Why is it that the singular value decomposition is used when running regression with arima, please? I've been looking for a reference for that but have come up empty so far. Thank you for any help. Sincerely, Erin Erin M. Hodgess, PhD Associate Professor Department of Computer and Mathematical Sciences University of Houston - Downtown mailto: hodgesse@uhd.edu

On 21 May 2015, at 12:49 , Martin Maechler <maechler at lynne.stat.math.ethz.ch> wrote: >>>>>> peter dalgaard <pdalgd at gmail.com> >>>>>> on Thu, 21 May 2015 11:03:05 +0200 writes: > >> On 21 May 2015, at 10:35 , Martin Maechler <maechler at lynne.stat.math.ethz.ch> wrote: > >>>> >>>> I noticed that

Hello, I am a beginner user of R and I would like to estimate a model with AR errors. I use arima function: modele <-arima(conso,xreg=var.exogenes,order=c(ordre,0,0),include.mean=TRUE,method ="CSS") My inputs are dummies for each month except one, and the same thing for each day and each hour. I have this error message: Warning message: possible convergence problem: optim gave