similar to: How to build a AR(q)-GARCH(q) process ?

Follow the example in tseries, we can simulated a GARCH(0,2), n <- 1100 a <- c(0.1, 0.5, 0.2) # ARCH(2) coefficients e <- rnorm(n) x <- double(n) x[1:2] <- rnorm(2, sd = sqrt(a[1]/(1.0-a[2]-a[3]))) for(i in 3:n) # Generate ARCH(2) process { x[i] <- e[i]*sqrt(a[1]+a[2]*x[i-1]^2+a[3]*x[i-2]^2) } x <- ts(x[101:1100]) and x is a GARCH(0,2). But, I would like to know how

Anyone know if there's an R package somewhere that supports estimation of a linear regression model with GARCH error process? There's a garch command in the tseries package, but unless I'm missing something it is restricted to the univariate case, i.e. you can fit a GARCH model to a single time-series but not estimate a model with GARCH errors. -- Allin Cottrell Department of

R-guRus , ARMA function in tseries, seems to be calculating the AR coeff 's as coef <- lm(xx[,1]~xx[,lag$ar+1])$coef [*snipped* from around line 77,] I'd like to modify this model with another term somewhat in these lines lm(xx[,1] ~xx[,lag$ar+1]+mvgsignal)$coef where mvgsignal is a moving average signal based on some indicators, the question is could i simply hack into

Dear all, Can garch function fit also t-innovations or only Gaussian innovations? -- With kind regards -- Lepo pozdravljeni -- Gr??e (Gr?ezi) -- Gorazd Brumen ------------------------------- Mail 1: gbrumen at student.ethz.ch Mail 2: gorazd.brumen at fmf.uni-lj.si Tel.: +41 (0)1 63 34906 Homepage: valjhun.fmf.uni-lj.si/~brumen

Hi,I try to calcualte AIC or Loglik to GARCH model,But the Packege Tseries do not deal with them.How can I calculate AIC or Loglike to GARCH Model By Packege Tseries? Thanks. ____________________________________________________ Free Internet Access NOW! In Alexandria, Ismaileya, Suez, Portsaid, Hurgadha, Sharm Banha, Shebin El-Kom, Damietta, Tanta, Zagazig, Mansoura, Damanhour, Assyout, Qena

Hello, I have a rather complex problem... I will have to explain everything in detail because I cannot solve it by myself...i just ran out of ideas. So here is what I want to do: I take quotes of two indices - S&P500 and DJ. And my first aim is to estimate coefficients of the DCC-GARCH model for them. This is how I do it: library(tseries) p1 = get.hist.quote(instrument =

Hi there, Does anyone know how to predict ARMA? It doesn?t have either predict or forecast methods. I found couple of packages called fbasic and fseries at http://www.itp.phys.ethz.ch/econophysics/R/, which has ?arma.predict? in it, but it doesn?t seem to be working. Any help in this regard would be appreciated. Thanks in advance. Regards Skanda Kallur "Prediction is very difficult,

tseries_0.3-0 at CRAN now contains the following new features: NelPlo Nelson-Plosser Macroeconomic Time Series garch Fit GARCH Models to Time Series get.hist.quote Download Historical Finance Data jarque.bera.test Jarque-Bera Test na.remove NA Handling Routines for Time Series garch contains a GARCH estimation routine together

tseries_0.3-0 at CRAN now contains the following new features: NelPlo Nelson-Plosser Macroeconomic Time Series garch Fit GARCH Models to Time Series get.hist.quote Download Historical Finance Data jarque.bera.test Jarque-Bera Test na.remove NA Handling Routines for Time Series garch contains a GARCH estimation routine together

Dear all R user, Please forgive me if my problem is too simple. Actually my problem is basically Statistical rather directly R related. Suppose I have return series ret with mean zero. And I want to fit a Garch(1,1) on this. my is r[t] = h[i]*z[t] h[t] = w + alpha*r[t-1]^2 + beta*h[t-1] I want to estimate the three parameters here; the R syntax is as follows: #

Dear R experts, I am trying to estimate an ARMA 2,2 model with garch errors. I used the following code on R 2.9. #library library(fGarch) #data data1<-ts(read.table("C:/Users/falcon/Desktop/Time Series/exports/goods1.csv"), start=c(1992,1), frequency=12) head(data1) #garch garchFit(formula.mean= ~arma(2,2),formula.var=~garch(1,1), data=data1) but get this error: >

Hi, I've fitted a GARCH(1,1) for the residuals of my time serie (X). X is an ARMA(1,1) process. Now I want to do a n-step forecast for X, knowing these processes. How can I do this? I know that there's a command: predict() for ARIMA processes and so on, but what about GARCH? I've got: arma=arima(x, order=c(1,0,1)) (...) garch11<-garch(residuals(x),order = c(1, 1))

Hello again! Is there a way to include a mean in the garch function in the library(tseries), please? I tried include.mean=T in the function statement but it didn't work thanks in advance! R Version 2.2.1 Windows Sincerely, Erin mailto: hodgess at gator.uhd.edu

Hi, Although my doubt is pretty,as i m not from stats background i am not sure how to proceed on this. Currently i am doing a forecasting.I used ARIMA to forecast and time series was volatile i used garchFit for residuals. How to use the output of Garch to correct the forecasted values from ARIMA. Here is my code: ###delta is the data fit<-arima(delta,order=c(2,,0,1)) fit.res <-

Dear list members, I am trying to estimate parameters of the AR(1)-GARCH(1,1) model. I have one additional dummy variable for the AR(1) part. First I wanted to do it using garchFit function (everything would be then estimated in one step) however in the fGarch library I didn't find a way to include an additional variable. That would be the formula but, as said, I think it is impossible to add

Hello - Here's what I'm trying to do. I want to fit a time series y with ARMA(1,1) + GARCH(1,1), there are also an exogeneous variable x which I wish to include, so the whole equation looks like: y_t - \phi y_{t-1} = \sigma_t \epsilon_t + \theta \sigma_{t-1} \epsilon_{t-1} + c x_t where \epsilon_t are i.i.d. random variables \sigma_t^2 = omega + \alpha \sigma_{t-1}^2 + \beta

Dear R-Users, are there any ARIMA/GARCH-packages/functions for R? Best regards, M. Fischer -.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.- r-help mailing list -- Read http://www.ci.tuwien.ac.at/~hornik/R/R-FAQ.html Send "info", "help", or "[un]subscribe" (in the "body", not the subject !) To: r-help-request at

Hello R-list-members, I'm trying to model ARMA(0,2) & GARCH(1,1) process using the code below, but according to my textbook, the estimated parameters are wrong. The MA-parameters should be negative. (I've got the same problem using garchFit()). Can anyone tell me what I'm doing wrong? And how can I calculate the hessian matrix? Many thanks, Desislava Kavrakova Code:

Hello I want to predict the future values of time series with Garch When I specified my model like this: library(fGarch) ret <- diff(log(x))*100 fit = garchFit(~arma(1,0,0)+garch(1, 1), data =ret) predict(fit, n.ahead = 10) meanForecast meanError standardDeviation 1 0.01371299 0.03086350 0.03305819 2 0.01211893 0.03094519 0.03350248

I'm analizing the Argentina stock market (merv) I download the data from yahoo library(tseries) Argentina <- get.hist.quote(instrument="^MERV","1996-10-08","2003-11-03", quote="Close") merv <- na.remove(log(Argentina)) I made the Augmented Dickey-Fuller test to analyse if merv have unit root: adf.test(merv,k=13) Dickey-Fuller = -1.4645,