similar to: arima {ts}

To whom it may concern: I am trying to better understand the functionality of 'R' when making arima predictions to avoid any "Black Box" disadvantages. I'm fitting a seasonal arima model using the following command (having already loaded 'stat' package). arimaSeason <- arima(Data,order=c(1,0,1),seasonal=list(order=c(1,0,1),period=12)) I can then generate

Hi, I have the following code from Splus that I'd like to migrate to R. So far, the only problem is the arima.filt function. This function allows me to filter an existing time-series through a previously estimated arima model, and obtain the residuals for further use. Here's the Splus code: # x is the estimation time series, new.infl is a timeseries that contains new information # a.mle

This question is surely trivial, sorry. I'm afraid I'm misunterpreting the information I got with the documentation, and I'm a little bit confused. I'm just an engineer with some little skills in statistics. Well, I have a time series - 600 days long - with some weekly periodicity inside. So far, so good. Well, if I define the time series with, say : a <- ts(b,

Hello R People: When using the arima function with the seasonal option, are the seasonal options only good for monthly and quarterly data, please? Also, I believe that weekly and daily data are not appropriate for seasonal parm estimation via arima. Is that correct, please? Thanks, Sincerely, Laura Holt mailto: lauraholt_983 at hotmail.com download!

>>>>> Martin Maechler on Thu, 2 Jan 2025 20:42:58 +0100 writes: >>>>> Duncan Murdoch on Thu, 2 Jan 2025 11:28:45 -0500 writes: >> On 2025-01-02 11:20 a.m., Duncan Murdoch wrote: >>> On 2025-01-02 9:04 a.m., Norbert Kuder wrote: >>>> Hello all, >>>> >>>> I am running R version 4.4.2 (2024-10-31

Thanks for everyone's help with zoo -- I think I've got my data set ready. (The data consists of surface weather temperatures, from 2002 to 2005, one observation per hour. Some values are missing... i.e. NA) I have three goals: GOAL #1:Get the data in proper time series form, preserving frequency information: > w4.ts <- as.ts( w3.zoo, frequency=(1/3600) ) I hope that 1/3600

I'm trying to use the following command. arima (x, order = c(p,d,q), seasonal =list(order=c(P,D,Q), period=s) How can I write an estimated seasonal ARIMA model from the outputs. To be specifically, which sign to use? I know R uses a different signs from S plus. Is it correct that the model is: (1-ar1*B-ar2*B^2-...)(1-sar1*B^s-sar2*B^2s-....)(1-B)^d(1-B^s)^D

I am puzzled by the warning message in the output below. It appears whether or not I fit the seasonal term (but the precise point of doing this was to fit what is effectively a second seasonal term). Is there some deep reason why AR parameters ("Warning message: some AR parameters were fixed: ...") should somehow intrude into the fitting of a model that has only MA terms? >

Full_Name: Allan McRae Version: 1.6.0 OS: Win 2000 P Submission from: (NULL) (129.215.190.229) When using predict.Arima in library ts(), it appears differencing is only accounted for in the first step of prediction and so any trend is not apparent in the predictions. The example shows the difference between the predictions of an arima(1,1,1) model and the backtransformed predictions of an

Thanks a lot to everybody that helped me out with this. Conclusions: (1) In order to edit arima in R: >fix(arima) or alternatively: >arima<-edit(arima) (2) This is not contained in the "Introduction to R" manual. (3) A "productive" fix of arima is attached (arma coefficients printed out and error catched so that it doesn't halt parent loops to search for

Dear I would like to know how to use the Croston method in R, consaltarte if I download a package? personally work the series as a SARIMA In the present instalment have many values zeros proposed the following model, but I have many doubts with his predictions. M3 = arima (d1, order = c (2,1,4), n. ahead = 4, seasonal = list (order = c (2,1,4), period = 4)) where D1 = diff (series) Many

Hello, does anyone know about: a) simulating seasonal ARIMA models? arima out of package ts can fit it, but it does not look like it can simulates data from seasonal models b) fitting and simulating fractional seasonal ARIMA models? Hints will be appreciated, Henning -- Henning Rust Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research Dept. Integrated Systems Analysis Tel.: #49/331/288-2596

>>>>> Duncan Murdoch >>>>> on Thu, 2 Jan 2025 11:28:45 -0500 writes: > On 2025-01-02 11:20 a.m., Duncan Murdoch wrote: >> On 2025-01-02 9:04 a.m., Norbert Kuder wrote: >>> Hello all, >>> >>> I am running R version 4.4.2 (2024-10-31 ucrt) on Windows 10 x64, and >>> noticed something that might

On 2025-01-02 11:20 a.m., Duncan Murdoch wrote: > On 2025-01-02 9:04 a.m., Norbert Kuder wrote: >> Hello all, >> >> I am running R version 4.4.2 (2024-10-31 ucrt) on Windows 10 x64, and >> noticed something that might be a minor bug (or at least inconsistent code) >> in the stats/arima.R package. >> I have found: >> 1. A missing stop() call at line 69:

Hi all, First: I have a small line of code I'm applying to a variable which will be placed in a matrix table for latex output of accuracy measures: acc.aarima <- signif(accuracy(forecast(auto.arima(tix_ts, stepwise=FALSE), h=365)), digits=3). The time series referred to is univariate (daily counts from 12-10-2010 until 5-8-2010 (so not 2 full periods of data)), and I'm working on

On 2025-01-02 9:04 a.m., Norbert Kuder wrote: > Hello all, > > I am running R version 4.4.2 (2024-10-31 ucrt) on Windows 10 x64, and > noticed something that might be a minor bug (or at least inconsistent code) > in the stats/arima.R package. > I have found: > 1. A missing stop() call at line 69: > if (length(order) == 3) seasonal <- list(order = seasonal) else

Dear All, I've used the X-12-ARIMA or its earlier versions from S+ and R under both Unix and Windows platforms for many years using the klugey approach of calling an executable using in R the system function. I've found this serviceable for the following reasons. 1) Paul Gilbert's hunch is correct that many of the subroutines have extensive IO calls (especially the X-11 engine)

Dear all, I stumbled upon what appears to be a troublesome issue when sampling from an ARIMA model (from Rob Hyndman's excellent 'forecast' package) that contains a seasonal AR component. Here's how to reproduce the issue. (I'm using R 2.9.2 with forecast 2.19; see sessionInfo() below). First some data: > x <- c( 0.132475, 0.143119, 0.108104, 0.247291, 0.029510,

I'm trying to find a good open source software to do sales forecasting using Holt Winters and Box Jenkins time series algorithm. Somebody pointed me that R is the best open source available for statistical computing. Are there functions to do Holt Winters and Box Jenkins time series prediction in R? If there is none, can some one point me a good GNU/freeware to do the sales forecasting using

I've been trying to get comfy with arima() and associated functions in the ts() package. I'm thinking seriously about using this package, and R generally, in a 4th year intro time series course that I'm teaching this autumn. I have a couple of questions about arima: (1) The help file says that residuals component of the value returned by arima() consists of the