similar to: predict() of garchFit

Hello, I’ve fitted a Garch(2,1) model with function 'garchFit()' from the package 'fGarch': > m1 <- garchFit(formula = ~garch(2,1),data = X,trace = F) * See 'summary(m1)' OUTPUT BELOW * PROBLEM: My alpha1 term is not significant and I would like to make a NEW model, say m2, that does not contain alpha1, but I am not sure how to specify this with the garchFit()

Hello I want to predict the future values of time series with Garch When I specified my model like this: library(fGarch) ret <- diff(log(x))*100 fit = garchFit(~arma(1,0,0)+garch(1, 1), data =ret) predict(fit, n.ahead = 10) meanForecast meanError standardDeviation 1 0.01371299 0.03086350 0.03305819 2 0.01211893 0.03094519 0.03350248

Hi, i am a student of tecnical mathematics in austria, and my english is not sooo good, German would be easier, but an answer in english is perfect too. I would need any help to understand the exact output of the function "garchFit". Maybe it would help me just to know what the coefficients are telling me. I do already understand well what functions like arima or garch are doing and

I used garchFit function to fit 1600 observations of EURO/USD 2-day returns in GARCH(1,1) model. As part of the summary I got warning message: NaNs produced in: sqrt(diag(fit$cvar)) And didn't get any estimates for 3 params' std.error, t value or probability: Error Analysis: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|) mu -0.004827 0.020141 -0.240 0.811 ar1 0.010311

Hello. I am using fGarch to estimate the following model: Call: garchFit(formula = fmla, data = X[, i], trace = F) Mean and Variance Equation: data ~ arma(1, 1) + garch(1, 1) Conditional Distribution: norm Coefficient(s): mu ar1 ma1 omega alpha1 beta1 -0.94934 1.00000 -0.23211 54.06402 0.45709 0.61738 Std. Errors: based on Hessian Error Analysis:

Hi all, I was trying garchFIt() of fSeries to fit volatility of monthly log returns of S&P500. I tried residuals of normal, student t, skew normal, skew t. But all innovations except normal got exaxtly same coefficients, even if I changed their parameters of skew and shape. Is this correct for the data or something wrong? I am attaching the code, thank you. Muster #GARCH analysis of

Hello, The function garchFit in the package fGarch allows for choosing a conditional distribution, one of which is the t-distribution. The function allows specification of the shape parameter of the distribution (equal to the degrees of freedom for the t-distribution), for which the default is set to 4. The function also includes an option "include.shape", which is "a logical flag

Hello I am trying to use predict from an arma-Garch model (arma(2, 2) + garch(1, 1)) and I am getting the following error: Error en arima(x = object@data, order = c(max(u, 1), 0, max(v, 1)), init = c(ar, : non-stationary AR part from CSS Does anybody know what can be the reason of this error? The model I have estimated is the following: Title: GARCH Modelling Call: garchFit(formula =

---------- Forwarded message ---------- From: ma yuchao <ma.yuchao@gmail.com> Date: 2006-5-20 ÉÏÎç4:01 Subject: hello, everyone To: R-help@stat.math.ethz.ch Hello, R people: I have a question in using fSeries package--the funciton garchFit and garchOxFit if adding a regression to the mean formula, how to estimate the model in R? using garchFit or garchOxFit? For example,

hello everybody, I would like to fit a model to a times series (testing set) for out of sample predictions using garchFit(). I would like to keep the coefficients of ARMA/GARCH model fixed (as found by fitting the model to my training set). The arima fitting function has such an option for that (fixed=NULL) but the garchFit() doesnt. It is very important for me to keep the same coefficients

Hello, I was using garchFit {fGarch} to fit some GARCH processes. I noticed that the result contains "Log Likelihood" value (right above "Description"), but when I use .. at fit$llh to retrieve Log Likelihood value, the sign switched. I am confused about which value I should choose to report... Any help here? Thanks a lot! Ted -- View this message in context:

Hi, i am working in the forecast of the daily price crude . The last prices of this data are the following: 100.60 101.47 100.20 100.06 98.68 101.28 101.05 102.13 101.70 98.27 101.00 100.50 100.03 102.23 102.68 103.32 102.67 102.23 102.14 101.25 101.11 99.90 98.53 96.76 96.12 96.54 96.30 95.92 95.92 93.45 93.71 96.42 93.99 93.76 95.24 95.63 95.95 95.83 95.65

Hi, Although my doubt is pretty,as i m not from stats background i am not sure how to proceed on this. Currently i am doing a forecasting.I used ARIMA to forecast and time series was volatile i used garchFit for residuals. How to use the output of Garch to correct the forecasted values from ARIMA. Here is my code: ###delta is the data fit<-arima(delta,order=c(2,,0,1)) fit.res <-

Hi, I have a problem using garchFit, when I use : x<-model$resid fit = garchFit(~garch(1, 1), data = x, cond.dist="dst") fit at fitted it gives me error : object "fit" not found Why it doesn't recognize fit? Thanks, Shirin

Dear R experts, We've been playing with the locfit package and are experiencing a problem I am hoping for some help on. We have a dataset of 13k points, one dimension of which is "judgment", either 0 or 1, and the other "score", an arbitrary scalar (in this case it's between .65 and .85). We use

Dear all, I have problem here : I'm using garchFit from fSeries package, here is part of the script : > data <- read.table("d:/data.txt") > a <- garchFit(~garch(1,1),ts(data)) I also attached the file here. In my experience, I got my R not responding. I also tried with > a <- garchFit(~garch(1,1),ts(data*10)) and it's worked. I

Hi all, I post it on both r-help and r-finance since I don't know where is most appropriate for this topic. Sorry if it bothers you. I did garch fitting on S&P500 monthly returns with garchFit from fSeries. I got same coefficients from all cond.dist except normal. I thought that is probabaly usual for the data. But when I play with it, I got another question. I plot skew normal with

Dear R People: I'm trying to use the garchFit function from the library(fSeries) However, R freezes every time that I use it. Is anyone else having this problem, please? Thanks in advance! R Version 2.2.1 Windows. Sincerely, Erin Hodgess Associate Professor Department of Computer and Mathematical Sciences University of Houston - Downtown mailto: hodgess at gator.uhd.edu

Dear expeRts, How can I specify the order p,q of a GARCH(p,q) model within a loop? Here's a minimal example showing that an "Formula and data units do not match"-error appears: library(fGarch) spec <- garchSpec(model = list(alpha = 0.1, beta = c(0.4, 0.4))) data <- garchSim(spec, n = 100) x <- list() for(q in 1:3){ print(q) x[q] <-

Full_Name: Scott Yonker Version: R for OSX Cocoa OS: Mac OSX Submission from: (NULL) (24.208.185.211) The garchFit function in the Rmetrics libray cannot estimate ARCH models, meaning that the number of beta terms in the model must be greater than zero. For this function neither p nor q can be set to zero without an error. The problem lies in both the specification of the objective function