similar to: auto.arima error

1. This is an imaginary data on monthly outcomes of 2 years and I want to forecast the outcome for next 12 months of next year. data Data1; input Yr Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec; datalines; 2008 12 13 12 14 13 12 11 15 10 12 12 12 2009 12 13 12 14 13 12 11 15 10 12 12 12 ; run; I converted the above data into the below format to use it in R as it was giving error: asking

Dear all, When I run an arima(1,1,1) on an I(1) variable, y, I get different estimates to when I first difference the variable myself, e.g y2<-diff(y), and then run arima(1,0,1) on y2. Shouldn't these two approaches give the same output? Any help will be much appreciated. george

HI, there, When i use R, i tried to use function arima(), it complains: Error: couldn't find function "arima" But when I type "help.search("arima") ", I got arima() poped up.. arima(ts) ARIMA Modelling of Time Series arima.sim(ts) Simulate from an ARIMA Model arima0(ts) ARIMA Modelling of Time Series -- Preliminary

Hi, Does anyone know a method for adding a linear/polynominal trend to a simulated arima model using the arima.sim function? Any help will be greatly appreciated. Cheers, Sam.

Thanks, Can't find an ARIMA in base, dse1/2 or tseries, only references to. What package is it in? Thanks again! Best regards, /fb -.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.- r-help mailing list -- Read http://www.ci.tuwien.ac.at/~hornik/R/R-FAQ.html Send "info", "help", or "[un]subscribe" (in the "body", not the

I am using arima to develop a time series regression model, I am using arima b/c I have autocorrelated errors. Several of my independent variables are categorical and I have coded them as factors . When I run ARIMA I don't get any warning or error message, but I do not seem to get estimates for all the levels of the factor. Can/how does ARIMA handle factors in xreg? here is some example

Hi, I am using the arima.sim function to generate some AR time series. However, the function does not seem to produce exactly the same time series when I specify the innov parameter. For example > r <- rnorm(300) > x <- arima.sim(300, model=list(order=c(1,0,0),ar=c(.96)), innov=r, n.start=10) > y <- arima.sim(300, model=list(order=c(1,0,0),ar=c(.96)), innov=r, n.start=10) >

Good morning, (sorry for my english) i have some problems to put off by extimation ARIMA coefficients the ones not significatives. Exist a method to extimate only that significatives? i use the command: arima(). thanks to all Stefano [[alternative HTML version deleted]]

Hello everyone, I'm doing some benchmark comparing Arima [1] and SVR on time series data. I'm using an out-of-sample one-step-ahead prediction from Arima using the "fitted" method [2]. Do someone know how to have a two-steps-ahead forecast timeseries from Arima? Thanks, Matteo Bertini [1] http://robjhyndman.com/software/forecast [2] AirPassengers example on page 5

Hi, I'm using the function arima() from the ts package. when the function gives me the output I can see the s.e. of the coefficients. However I cannot find a way to collect them in a object estimate<-arima(x, order=c(1,0,1)) estimate$se does not work in fact str(estimate) does not contain $se. How is it possible? The function compute and print that value but it is not the resulting

Hello R People: When using the arima function with the seasonal option, are the seasonal options only good for monthly and quarterly data, please? Also, I believe that weekly and daily data are not appropriate for seasonal parm estimation via arima. Is that correct, please? Thanks, Sincerely, Laura Holt mailto: lauraholt_983 at hotmail.com download!

Hi all, I?m using the arima() function to study a time series but it gives me the following error: Error en optim(init[mask], armafn, method = "BFGS", hessian = TRUE, control = optim.control, : non-finite finite-difference value [3] I know that I can change the method of the arima() to "CSS" instead of "ML" but I'm specially interested in using

Hi, Can anyone explain how the standard error in arima() is calculated? Also, how can I extract it from the Arima object? I don't see it in there. > x <- rnorm(1000) > a <- arima(x, order = c(4, 0, 0)) > a Call: arima(x = x, order = c(4, 0, 0)) Coefficients: ar1 ar2 ar3 ar4 intercept -0.0451 0.0448 0.0139 -0.0688 0.0010 s.e.

Hi, I have the following code from Splus that I'd like to migrate to R. So far, the only problem is the arima.filt function. This function allows me to filter an existing time-series through a previously estimated arima model, and obtain the residuals for further use. Here's the Splus code: # x is the estimation time series, new.infl is a timeseries that contains new information # a.mle

Hi, All, This is my program ts1.sim <- arima.sim(list(order = c(1,1,0), ar = c(0.7)), n = 200) ts2.sim <- arima.sim(list(order = c(1,1,0), ar = c(0.5)), n = 200) tdata<-ts(c(ts1.sim[-1],ts2.sim[-1])) tre<-c(rep(0,200),rep(1,200)) gender<-rbinom(400,1,.5) x<-matrix(0,2,400) x[1,]<-tre x[2,]<-gender fit <- arima(tdata, c(1, 1, 0), method = "CSS",xreg=t(x))

Hi, I'm a beginner using R and I'm modeling a time series with ARIMA. I'm looking for a way to determine the p-values of the coefficients of my model. Does ARIMA function return these values? or is there a way to determine them easily? Thanks for your answer Myriam

>If you ***look at the code*** for arima you will see that ``%+%'' is >defined >in terms of a call to ``.Call()'' which calls ``R_TSconv''. So >apparently >R_TSconv is a C or Fortran function or subroutine in a ``shared >object library'' >or dll upon which arima depends. Hence to do anything with it you'll >need to get >that shared

Hey, as a bloddy beginner in R I want to simulate a Arima (2,1,0) process with R. My problem is, that I don't know how to specify the AR. For a ARIMA(1,1,0) I use the following syntax: S <- arima.sim(list(order=c(1,1,0), ar=0.9), n=100). I think it is a stupid question with an easy answer. But when I google the only results are arima.sim for an ARIMA (1,1,0). Regards, Chris --

What is the difference between arima and arima0?

Hi I fitted an ARIMA model using the function arima(). The output consists of the fitted coefficients with their standard errors. However i need information about the significance of the coefficients, like p-values. I hope you can help me on that issue... ciao Stefan