search for: 36vzop

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2008 Feb 16
2
Possible overfitting of a GAM
...e. Just one voting place was studied; the election was the U.S. mid-term election about a year ago. Procedure: The voting day was divided into five-minute bins, and the number of voters arriving in each bin was recorded. The voting day was 13 hours long, giving 156 bins. See http://tinyurl.com/36vzop for the scatterplot. There is a rather high random variation, due in part to the fact that the bin width was intentionally set to be narrow, in order to improve the amount of timing information gathered. http://tinyurl.com/3xjsyo displays the fitted curve. A GAM was used, with the loess smooth...